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Putin predictions & odds

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Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?

7%

$2M Vol.

$478K today

$187K Liq.

Ends in 29 days

Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

63%

United Russia (ER)

$7M Vol.

$125K today

$365K Liq.

155

Ends in 5 months

Where will Trump and Putin meet next?

Where will Trump and Putin meet next?

85%

No meeting by June 30

$5M Vol.

$176K Liq.

22

Ends in about 2 months

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

12%

$4M Vol.

$208K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?

Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?

3%

$1M Vol.

$129K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by...?

Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by...?

10%

December 31, 2026

$3M Vol.

$41.2K Liq.

126

Ends in 8 months

U.S. nuclear test by...?

U.S. nuclear test by...?

11%

December 31, 2026

$656K Vol.

$45.5K Liq.

17

Russia Parliamentary Election Winner

Russia Parliamentary Election Winner

95%

United Russia (ER)

$1M Vol.

$291K Liq.

8

Ends in 5 months

Will Putin visit China by May 31?

Will Putin visit China by May 31?

88%

$82.2K Vol.

$15.9K Liq.

8

Ends in 29 days

Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by...?

Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by...?

19%

September 30

$916K Vol.

$3.1K Liq.

185

Ends in 29 days

Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by...?

Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by...?

26%

December 31

$781K Vol.

$14.2K Liq.

13

Ends in 8 months

Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by...?

Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by...?

11%

December 31

$877K Vol.

$3.4K Liq.

11

Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by...?

Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by...?

50%

December 31

$850K Vol.

$10.1K Liq.

137

Ends in 29 days

Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by...?

Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by...?

28%

December 31

$421K Vol.

$15.1K Liq.

6

Ends in 8 months

Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by...?

Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by...?

3%

June 30

$399K Vol.

$45.0K Liq.

3

Ends in about 2 months

Will Russia capture Sumy by...?

Will Russia capture Sumy by...?

18%

March 31, 2027

$707K Vol.

$21.9K Liq.

4

Ends in 11 months

Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by...?

Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by...?

3%

June 30

$1M Vol.

$4.0K Liq.

167

Ends in about 2 months

Russia nuclear test by...?

Russia nuclear test by...?

9%

December 31, 2026

$1M Vol.

$43.2K Liq.

7

Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?

Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?

3%

$1M Vol.

$27.3K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Ukraine coup attempt by June 30?

Ukraine coup attempt by June 30?

5%

$9.3K Vol.

$14.5K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Putin.

Polymarket currently hosts 20 active markets for Putin that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $32.8M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 63% chance to United Russia (ER). These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Putin predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.