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Elections predictions & odds

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Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Elections·Primaries

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

26%

Gavin Newsom

$1B Vol.

$1M today

$49M Liq.

696

Ends in over 2 years

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
Elections·Primaries

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

39%

J.D. Vance

$595M Vol.

$1M today

$19M Liq.

375

Ends in over 2 years

Presidential Election Winner 2028
Elections·US Election

Presidential Election Winner 2028

22%

JD Vance

$562M Vol.

$1M today

$26M Liq.

875

Ends in over 2 years

Next French Presidential Election
Elections·Global Elections

Next French Presidential Election

23%

Jordan Bardella

$56M Vol.

$709K today

$5M Liq.

431

Ends in 12 months

Trump out as President by June 30?

Trump out as President by June 30?

2%

$4M Vol.

$410K today

$421K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Colombia Presidential Election
Elections·Global Elections

Colombia Presidential Election

41%

Iván Cepeda Castro

$27M Vol.

$407K today

$2M Liq.

399

Ends in about 2 months

2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Winner

2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Winner

87%

Chong Won-oh

$33M Vol.

$403K today

$4M Liq.

51

Ends in about 1 month

California Governor Election Winner
Elections·US Election

California Governor Election Winner

43%

Tom Steyer

$16M Vol.

$395K today

$3M Liq.

42

Ends in 6 months

Next Prime Minister of Hungary
Elections·Global Elections

Next Prime Minister of Hungary

100%

Péter Magyar

$95M Vol.

$337K today

$4M Liq.

2,109

Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly Election Winner
Elections·Global Elections

Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly Election Winner

88%

DMK

$20M Vol.

$199K today

$453K Liq.

496

Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

42%

Benjamin Netanyahu

$6M Vol.

$190K today

$655K Liq.

201

Ends in 8 months

Peru Presidential Election Winner
Elections·Global Elections

Peru Presidential Election Winner

66%

Keiko Fujimori

$48M Vol.

$180K today

$5M Liq.

4,494

Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

64%

United Russia (ER)

$7M Vol.

$122K today

$400K Liq.

155

Ends in 5 months

West Bengal Legislative Assembly Election Winner
Elections·Global Elections

West Bengal Legislative Assembly Election Winner

52%

AITC

$5M Vol.

$96.2K today

$266K Liq.

460

 Colombia Presidential Election 1st round winner?
Elections·Global Elections

Colombia Presidential Election 1st round winner?

93%

Iván Cepeda Castro

$5M Vol.

$92.7K today

$1M Liq.

20

Ends in 30 days

Scotland Parliamentary Election Winner
Elections·Global Elections

Scotland Parliamentary Election Winner

99%

Scottish National Party

$2M Vol.

$56.0K today

$177K Liq.

9

Ends in 5 days

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
Elections·US Election

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

49%

Democrats Sweep

$6M Vol.

$470K Liq.

160

Ends in 6 months

2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: Party Winner

2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: Party Winner

96%

Reform

$153K Vol.

$115K Liq.

2

Ends in 5 days

Maine Democratic Senate Primary Winner
Elections·Primaries

Maine Democratic Senate Primary Winner

99%

Graham Platner

$3M Vol.

$173K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

KY-04 Republican Primary Winner
Elections·Primaries

KY-04 Republican Primary Winner

75%

Thomas Massie

$409K Vol.

$74.0K Liq.

32

Ends in 17 days

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Elections.

Polymarket currently hosts 20 active markets for Elections that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $2.6B in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Trump out as President by June 30?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 26% chance to Gavin Newsom. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Elections predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.