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PM predictions & odds

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Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?

Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?

34%

No Next PM in 2026

$5M Vol.

$636K Liq.

54

Ends in 8 months

Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?

Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?

16%

$13.6K Vol.

$11.7K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Next Prime Minister of Italy?

Next Prime Minister of Italy?

48%

Giorgia Meloni

$6.1K Vol.

$67.5K Liq.

7

Ends in over 2 years

Lecornu out as French PM by...?

Lecornu out as French PM by...?

25%

December 31, 2026

$321K Vol.

$22.1K Liq.

112

Ends in 8 months

Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?

Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?

38%

$842 Vol.

$537 Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Nawaf Salam out as Lebanon PM in 2026?

Nawaf Salam out as Lebanon PM in 2026?

43%

$119 Vol.

$38 Liq.

1

Ends in 8 months

Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?

Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?

84%

$76.0K Vol.

$28.6K Liq.

30

Ends in 8 months

Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by...?

Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by...?

19%

December 31, 2026

$123K Vol.

$34.6K Liq.

37

Ends in 8 months

Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM? (May 4 - 9)

Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM? (May 4 - 9)

56%

May 4

$100 Vol.

$253 Liq.

1

Ends in 7 days

In which month will SpaceX IPO?

In which month will SpaceX IPO?

67%

June

$332K Vol.

$19.0K Liq.

1

Ends in 8 months

2026 FIFA World Cup Winner

2026 FIFA World Cup Winner

16%

France

$875M Vol.

$6M today

$194M Liq.

651

Ends in 3 months

US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

39%

June 30

$68M Vol.

$2M today

$924K Liq.

1,489

Ends in 29 days

Eurovision Winner 2026

Eurovision Winner 2026

35%

Finland

$122M Vol.

$2M today

$15M Liq.

499

Ends in 14 days

Elon Musk # tweets April 28 - May 5, 2026?

Elon Musk # tweets April 28 - May 5, 2026?

24%

160-179

$4M Vol.

$1M today

$1M Liq.

Ends in 4 days

F1 Drivers' Champion

F1 Drivers' Champion

31%

Kimi Antonelli

$137M Vol.

$1M today

$12M Liq.

169

Ends in 7 months

Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?

Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?

3%

$12M Vol.

$863K today

$1M Liq.

1

Ends in 29 days

Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair?

Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair?

100%

Kevin Warsh

$47M Vol.

$806K today

$3M Liq.

91

Ends in 6 months

Brazil Presidential Election

Brazil Presidential Election

44%

Flávio Bolsonaro

$63M Vol.

$757K today

$4M Liq.

5,762

Ends in 5 months

Next French Presidential Election

Next French Presidential Election

22%

Jordan Bardella

$56M Vol.

$717K today

$5M Liq.

431

Ends in 12 months

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?

68%

June 30

$29M Vol.

$671K today

$410K Liq.

5

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like PM.

Polymarket currently hosts 4317 active markets for PM that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $1.4B in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “2026 FIFA World Cup Winner ,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “2026 FIFA World Cup Winner ,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 16% chance to France. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on PM predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.