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Brazil predictions & odds

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Brazil Presidential Election

Brazil Presidential Election

44%

Flávio Bolsonaro

$63M Vol.

$787K today

$4M Liq.

5,824

Ends in 5 months

Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

38%

$569K Vol.

$13.4K Liq.

99

Ends in 3 months

Ceará Governor Election Winner

Ceará Governor Election Winner

52%

Ciro Gomes

$15.5K Vol.

$38.7K Liq.

1

Ends in 5 months

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

66%

Flávio Bolsonaro

$3M Vol.

$277K Liq.

27

Ends in 5 months

Bank of Brazil Decision in June?

Bank of Brazil Decision in June?

78%

Decrease

$75.0K Vol.

$15.7K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place

39%

Romeu Zema

$264K Vol.

$137K Liq.

37

Ends in 5 months

2026 FIFA World Cup: Player to make Brazil Squad

2026 FIFA World Cup: Player to make Brazil Squad

99%

Raphinha

$5.2K Vol.

$14.5K Liq.

1

Ends in about 1 month

São Paulo Governor Election Winner

São Paulo Governor Election Winner

78%

Tarcísio de Freitas

$5.1K Vol.

$58.4K Liq.

3

Ends in 5 months

Which candidates will advance to Brazil's presidential runoff?

Which candidates will advance to Brazil's presidential runoff?

87%

Flavio Bolsonaro

$301K Vol.

$89.8K Liq.

104

Ends in 5 months

Brazil GDP Growth in Q1 2026?

Brazil GDP Growth in Q1 2026?

32%

1.5%–1.8%

$19.2K Vol.

$10.6K Liq.

Ends in 27 days

Minas Gerais Governor Election Winner

Minas Gerais Governor Election Winner

56%

Cleitinho Azevedo

$3.2K Vol.

$49.7K Liq.

4

Ends in 5 months

Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?

Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?

13%

$64.5K Vol.

$13.5K Liq.

25

Ends in 8 months

Brazil Annual Inflation 2026

Brazil Annual Inflation 2026

24%

4.50-4.99%

$56.7K Vol.

$13.8K Liq.

2

Ends in 9 months

Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?

Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?

7%

$62.2K Vol.

$15.7K Liq.

32

Ends in 5 months

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

37%

Lula da Silva <5%

$228K Vol.

$91.4K Liq.

10

Ends in 5 months

Next Brazil Senate Election: Most Seats Won

Next Brazil Senate Election: Most Seats Won

79%

PL

$252K Vol.

$59.4K Liq.

9

Ends in 5 months

Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?

Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?

82%

$5.0K Vol.

$15.9K Liq.

1

Ends in 4 months

Brazil Chamber of Deputies Election Winner

Brazil Chamber of Deputies Election Winner

72%

PL

$4.3K Vol.

$81.5K Liq.

2

Ends in 5 months

Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?

Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?

15%

$27.2K Vol.

$12.0K Liq.

18

Ends in 8 months

Bahia Governor Election Winner

Bahia Governor Election Winner

63%

ACM Neto

$5.0K Vol.

$32.9K Liq.

Ends in 5 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Brazil.

Polymarket currently hosts 20 active markets for Brazil that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Brazil Presidential Election”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $68.2M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Brazil Presidential Election,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Brazil Presidential Election,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 44% chance to Flávio Bolsonaro. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Brazil predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.