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Breaking Tech News & Predictions

May 1, 2026

Breaking News

See the polymarkets that moved the most in the last 24 hours

1
icon for Will a new MAI model be released by April 30, 2026?

Will a new MAI model be released by April 30, 2026?

100%
87%
2
icon for Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $650b and $660b on April 30?

Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $650b and $660b on April 30?

100%
84%
3
icon for Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?

Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?

42%
20%
4
icon for Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?

Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?

67%
15%
5
icon for Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?

Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?

19%
13%
6
icon for Will NYC have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in April?

Will NYC have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in April?

0%
12%
7
icon for Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?

Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?

15%
12%
8
icon for Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?

Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?

41%
9%
9
icon for Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?

Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?

33%
9%
10
icon for Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?

Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?

71%
7%
11
icon for Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

28%
7%
12
icon for Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?

Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?

26%
6%
13
icon for AI bubble burst in 2026?

AI bubble burst in 2026?

19%
6%
14
icon for GTA 6 launch postponed again?

GTA 6 launch postponed again?

21%
6%
15
icon for Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in April 2026?

Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in April 2026?

27%
5%
16
icon for Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?

28%
5%
17
icon for Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?

53%
4%
18
icon for Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by May 31?

Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by May 31?

27%
1%