Skip to main content

Breaking Politics News & Predictions

May 1, 2026

Breaking News

See the polymarkets that moved the most in the last 24 hours

1
icon for Spirit Airlines shutdown/liquidation by May 31?

Spirit Airlines shutdown/liquidation by May 31?

71%
36%
2
icon for Will Donald Trump dance on May 1, 2026?

Will Donald Trump dance on May 1, 2026?

100%
33%
3
icon for US takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?

US takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?

29%
32%
4
icon for Will the Indian National Congress (INC) win the most seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election?

Will the Indian National Congress (INC) win the most seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election?

54%
20%
5
icon for Will Keisha Lance Bottoms win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?

Will Keisha Lance Bottoms win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?

79%
16%
6
icon for Will Rowenna Davis win the 2026 London Borough of Croydon mayoral election?

Will Rowenna Davis win the 2026 London Borough of Croydon mayoral election?

50%
15%
7
icon for Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

59%
13%
8
icon for Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?

Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?

74%
12%
9
icon for Will Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?

Will Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?

68%
12%
10
icon for James Comey mugshot released by May 5?

James Comey mugshot released by May 5?

1%
8%
11
icon for Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?

Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?

80%
8%
12
icon for Will Comey insult Trump by Friday?

Will Comey insult Trump by Friday?

1%
5%
13
icon for Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?

Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?

50%
3%
14
icon for Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?

Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?

42%
3%
15
icon for Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?

Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?

13%
3%
16
icon for Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?

6%
2%
17
icon for Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?

Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?

13%
1%