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Transit predictions & odds

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Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

<1%

$35M Vol.

$1M today

$599K Liq.

3

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?

7%

$4M Vol.

$765K today

$385K Liq.

Ends in 13 days

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

21%

$4M Vol.

$363K today

$250K Liq.

Ends in 29 days

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

48%

$1M Vol.

$76.2K today

$170K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of Apr 27?

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of Apr 27?

69%

25-49

$51.3K Vol.

$93.6K Liq.

Ends in 1 day

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by end of April?

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by end of April?

1%

40+

$1M Vol.

$24.7K Liq.

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?

62%

20+

$15.3K Vol.

$30.0K Liq.

Ends in 29 days

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of May 4?

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of May 4?

45%

25-49

$1.2K Vol.

$90.9K Liq.

Ends in 8 days

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

15%

May 31

$2M Vol.

$56.5K Liq.

85

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?

17%

$48.0K Vol.

$101K Liq.

Ends in 29 days

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of April?

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of April?

98%

0-10

$219K Vol.

$63.2K Liq.

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of May?

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of May?

56%

0-10

$362 Vol.

$62.0K Liq.

Ends in 29 days

Any of the stolen KitKats recovered by...?

Any of the stolen KitKats recovered by...?

<1%

April 30

$4.7K Vol.

$629 Liq.

3

What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by May 31?

What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by May 31?

21%

Oil Sanction Relief

$29.4K Vol.

$127K Liq.

Ends in 29 days

2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?

2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?

2%

$137K Vol.

$3.8K Liq.

6

Ends in about 2 months

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

9%

$1M Vol.

$70.2K Liq.

37

Ends in 8 months

Cuban regime falls in 2026?

Cuban regime falls in 2026?

24%

$184K Vol.

$24.3K Liq.

8

Ends in 8 months

Another Canadian MP crosses the floor by...?

Another Canadian MP crosses the floor by...?

50%

May 31

$287 Vol.

$57 Liq.

1

Ends in about 2 months

Will Karrigan retire by June 30?

Will Karrigan retire by June 30?

3%

$2.1K Vol.

$1.1K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Will the Missouri abortion & sex change for minors ban pass?

Will the Missouri abortion & sex change for minors ban pass?

10%

$562 Vol.

$349 Liq.

Ends in 6 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Transit.

Polymarket currently hosts 124 active markets for Transit that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $50.3M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 100% chance to No. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Transit predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.