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OPEC predictions & odds

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Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?

Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?

33%

$64.6K Vol.

$61.5K Liq.

3

Ends in 8 months

OPEC Crude Oil production above __ in May?

OPEC Crude Oil production above __ in May?

46%

19 Million

$2.1K Vol.

$532 Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

OPEC dissolves in 2026?

OPEC dissolves in 2026?

11%

$7.4K Vol.

$81.7K Liq.

3

Ends in 8 months

UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?

UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?

14%

$96.9K Vol.

$70.2K today

$28.2K Liq.

1

Ends in 8 months

UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026?

UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026?

13%

$2.9K Vol.

$22.7K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Mohammed bin Zayed Al Nahyan out as President of UAE by...?

Mohammed bin Zayed Al Nahyan out as President of UAE by...?

9%

December 31

$15.7K Vol.

$29.2K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Mohammed bin Salman out as leader of Saudi Arabia by...?

Mohammed bin Salman out as leader of Saudi Arabia by...?

7%

December 31

$97.9K Vol.

$38.8K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach __ barrels per day in 2026?

Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach __ barrels per day in 2026?

94%

1m

$95.0K Vol.

$4.5K Liq.

7

Ends in 10 months

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above ___ on May 1?

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above ___ on May 1?

89%

$100

$15.4K Vol.

$24.2K Liq.

Ends in about 3 hours

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above ___ on May 4?

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above ___ on May 4?

50%

$109

$0 Vol.

$102 Liq.

Ends in 3 days

Nothing Ever Happens: May

Nothing Ever Happens: May

76%

Nothing

$11.2K Vol.

$16.0K Liq.

Ends in 29 days

Khamenei # posts May 1 - May 8, 2026?

Khamenei # posts May 1 - May 8, 2026?

82%

<5

$893 Vol.

$1.0K Liq.

Ends in 7 days

Khamenei # posts April 28 - May 5, 2026?

Khamenei # posts April 28 - May 5, 2026?

68%

<5

$2.5K Vol.

$3.6K Liq.

Ends in 4 days

Khamenei # posts April 24 - May 1, 2026?

Khamenei # posts April 24 - May 1, 2026?

99%

<5

$21.3K Vol.

$29.0K Liq.

Nothing Ever Happens: April

Nothing Ever Happens: April

100%

Nothing

$83.3K Vol.

$30.2K Liq.

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

20%

May 31

$113K Vol.

$66.1K Liq.

10

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

57%

$517K Vol.

$52.4K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

83%

↓ 0.0014

$106K Vol.

$6.3K Liq.

5

Ends in 8 months

Crude Oil (CL) above ___ end of June?

Crude Oil (CL) above ___ end of June?

98%

$50

$96.6K Vol.

$5.8K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

Crude Oil all time high by...?

Crude Oil all time high by...?

23%

December 31

$187 Vol.

$87.0K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like OPEC.

Polymarket currently hosts 108 active markets for OPEC that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $1.4M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Nothing Ever Happens: 2026,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 57% chance to Yes. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on OPEC predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.