Trader consensus clusters tightly around 140-199 posts for Elon Musk's X activity from April 28 to May 5, reflecting his recent moderated pace of 22-30 posts per day on April 28-29 amid steady engagement on Tesla updates, SpaceX milestones, and political commentary. This follows a variable April pattern, with spikes like 78 posts on April 25 giving way to more consistent 25-28 daily averages late last week, as tracked by market analytics. Key differentiators include potential viral catalysts—such as xAI announcements or election buzz—that could spike volume above 200, versus quieter periods if Musk focuses on private ventures. With four days remaining, traders eye real-time post trackers for momentum shifts, underscoring the high uncertainty in celebrity social media habits.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated160-179 19.3%
140-159 19.1%
180-199 19.1%
200-219 14%
$3,650,347 Vol.
$3,650,347 Vol.
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
4%
120-139
12%
140-159
19%
160-179
19%
180-199
19%
200-219
14%
220-239
7%
240-259
4%
260-279
2%
280-299
1%
300-319
1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
160-179 19.3%
140-159 19.1%
180-199 19.1%
200-219 14%
$3,650,347 Vol.
$3,650,347 Vol.
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
4%
120-139
12%
140-159
19%
160-179
19%
180-199
19%
200-219
14%
220-239
7%
240-259
4%
260-279
2%
280-299
1%
300-319
1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Apr 25, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus clusters tightly around 140-199 posts for Elon Musk's X activity from April 28 to May 5, reflecting his recent moderated pace of 22-30 posts per day on April 28-29 amid steady engagement on Tesla updates, SpaceX milestones, and political commentary. This follows a variable April pattern, with spikes like 78 posts on April 25 giving way to more consistent 25-28 daily averages late last week, as tracked by market analytics. Key differentiators include potential viral catalysts—such as xAI announcements or election buzz—that could spike volume above 200, versus quieter periods if Musk focuses on private ventures. With four days remaining, traders eye real-time post trackers for momentum shifts, underscoring the high uncertainty in celebrity social media habits.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
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