Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors Elon Musk posting 180-199 times on X from April 24 12:00 PM ET to May 1 12:00 PM ET, with 98.4% implied probability on that bin reflecting a verified tally of 187 posts—averaging about 23 daily over the eight-day window. This commanding position stems from real-time tracking of his main feed posts, quote posts, and reposts, corroborated by prior daily counts like 31 on April 24, 78 on April 25, and 22 on April 28, consistent with his established posting patterns absent any major disruptions. Scenarios that could still shift odds include resolution disputes over post eligibility, late adjustments before the May 1 noon ET cutoff, or official X data revisions, though such changes are unlikely given the precision of crowd-sourced monitoring.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedElon Musk # tweets April 24 - May 1, 2026?
Elon Musk # tweets April 24 - May 1, 2026?
180-199 99.4%
200-219 <1%
220-239 <1%
240-259 <1%
$9,225,095 Vol.
$9,225,095 Vol.
May 1, 2026
180-199
99%
200-219
1%
220-239
<1%
240-259
<1%
260-279
<1%
280-299
<1%
300-319
<1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580+
<1%
180-199 99.4%
200-219 <1%
220-239 <1%
240-259 <1%
$9,225,095 Vol.
$9,225,095 Vol.
May 1, 2026
180-199
$650,981 Vol.
99%
200-219
$600,655 Vol.
1%
220-239
$724,641 Vol.
<1%
240-259
$513,583 Vol.
<1%
260-279
$440,952 Vol.
<1%
280-299
$330,812 Vol.
<1%
300-319
$322,118 Vol.
<1%
320-339
$290,431 Vol.
<1%
340-359
$240,406 Vol.
<1%
360-379
$194,023 Vol.
<1%
380-399
$210,652 Vol.
<1%
400-419
$153,100 Vol.
<1%
420-439
$129,278 Vol.
<1%
440-459
$152,129 Vol.
<1%
460-479
$109,649 Vol.
<1%
480-499
$94,046 Vol.
<1%
500-519
$96,077 Vol.
<1%
520-539
$81,186 Vol.
<1%
540-559
$57,312 Vol.
<1%
560-579
$69,027 Vol.
<1%
580+
$172,004 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 24 12:00 PM ET to May 1, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors Elon Musk posting 180-199 times on X from April 24 12:00 PM ET to May 1 12:00 PM ET, with 98.4% implied probability on that bin reflecting a verified tally of 187 posts—averaging about 23 daily over the eight-day window. This commanding position stems from real-time tracking of his main feed posts, quote posts, and reposts, corroborated by prior daily counts like 31 on April 24, 78 on April 25, and 22 on April 28, consistent with his established posting patterns absent any major disruptions. Scenarios that could still shift odds include resolution disputes over post eligibility, late adjustments before the May 1 noon ET cutoff, or official X data revisions, though such changes are unlikely given the precision of crowd-sourced monitoring.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 24 12:00 PM ET to May 1, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Apr 21, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$9,225,095End Date
May 1, 2026Market Opened
Apr 21, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 24 12:00 PM ET to May 1, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors Elon Musk posting 180-199 times on X from April 24 12:00 PM ET to May 1 12:00 PM ET, with 98.4% implied probability on that bin reflecting a verified tally of 187 posts—averaging about 23 daily over the eight-day window. This commanding position stems from real-time tracking of his main feed posts, quote posts, and reposts, corroborated by prior daily counts like 31 on April 24, 78 on April 25, and 22 on April 28, consistent with his established posting patterns absent any major disruptions. Scenarios that could still shift odds include resolution disputes over post eligibility, late adjustments before the May 1 noon ET cutoff, or official X data revisions, though such changes are unlikely given the precision of crowd-sourced monitoring.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 24 12:00 PM ET to May 1, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$9,225,095End Date
May 1, 2026Market Opened
Apr 21, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors Elon Musk posting 180-199 times on X from April 24 12:00 PM ET to May 1 12:00 PM ET, with 98.4% implied probability on that bin reflecting a verified tally of 187 posts—averaging about 23 daily over the eight-day window. This commanding position stems from real-time tracking of his main feed posts, quote posts, and reposts, corroborated by prior daily counts like 31 on April 24, 78 on April 25, and 22 on April 28, consistent with his established posting patterns absent any major disruptions. Scenarios that could still shift odds include resolution disputes over post eligibility, late adjustments before the May 1 noon ET cutoff, or official X data revisions, though such changes are unlikely given the precision of crowd-sourced monitoring.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions