Trader consensus on Polymarket positions Israel as the televote frontrunner at 33.5% implied probability for the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final in Vienna, driven by Noam Bettan's multilingual pop entry "Michelle"—released in early March—which has surged in betting markets after strong pre-party reactions and historical televote strength despite geopolitical noise. Greece trails at 23% with Akylas's dynamic "Ferto," a national final standout from mid-February boasting stylistic flair and diaspora voting potential, while Finland's violin-pop duo Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen ("Liekinheitin," UMK winner late February) holds 19.5% amid overall winner favoritism but softer televote polls. The wide-open field reflects pre-rehearsal uncertainty, with first run-throughs this week poised to spotlight staging and live vocals as key differentiators before semis on May 12-14.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedEurovision 2026: Televote Winner
Eurovision 2026: Televote Winner
Israel 34%
Greece 26%
Finland 20%
Romania 4.9%
$6,322,281 Vol.
$6,322,281 Vol.

Israel
34%

Greece
26%

Finland
20%

Romania
5%

Ukraine
4%

Italy
3%

Moldova
2%

France
2%

Denmark
1%

Sweden
1%

Cyprus
1%

Bulgaria
1%

Poland
1%

Serbia
1%

Australia
1%

Malta
1%

Switzerland
<1%

Croatia
<1%

Germany
<1%

Estonia
<1%

Belgium
<1%

Lithuania
<1%

Luxembourg
<1%

Azerbaijan
<1%

Czechia
<1%

Norway
<1%

Armenia
<1%

Georgia
<1%

United Kingdom
<1%

Portugal
<1%

Albania
<1%

Austria
<1%

Latvia
<1%

Montenegro
<1%

San Marino
<1%
Israel 34%
Greece 26%
Finland 20%
Romania 4.9%
$6,322,281 Vol.
$6,322,281 Vol.

Israel
34%

Greece
26%

Finland
20%

Romania
5%

Ukraine
4%

Italy
3%

Moldova
2%

France
2%

Denmark
1%

Sweden
1%

Cyprus
1%

Bulgaria
1%

Poland
1%

Serbia
1%

Australia
1%

Malta
1%

Switzerland
<1%

Croatia
<1%

Germany
<1%

Estonia
<1%

Belgium
<1%

Lithuania
<1%

Luxembourg
<1%

Azerbaijan
<1%

Czechia
<1%

Norway
<1%

Armenia
<1%

Georgia
<1%

United Kingdom
<1%

Portugal
<1%

Albania
<1%

Austria
<1%

Latvia
<1%

Montenegro
<1%

San Marino
<1%
This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the televote in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026.
All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Market Opened: Mar 19, 2026, 7:40 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the televote in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026.
All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket positions Israel as the televote frontrunner at 33.5% implied probability for the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final in Vienna, driven by Noam Bettan's multilingual pop entry "Michelle"—released in early March—which has surged in betting markets after strong pre-party reactions and historical televote strength despite geopolitical noise. Greece trails at 23% with Akylas's dynamic "Ferto," a national final standout from mid-February boasting stylistic flair and diaspora voting potential, while Finland's violin-pop duo Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen ("Liekinheitin," UMK winner late February) holds 19.5% amid overall winner favoritism but softer televote polls. The wide-open field reflects pre-rehearsal uncertainty, with first run-throughs this week poised to spotlight staging and live vocals as key differentiators before semis on May 12-14.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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