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icon for Eurovision 2026: Televote Winner

Eurovision 2026: Televote Winner

icon for Eurovision 2026: Televote Winner

Eurovision 2026: Televote Winner

Israel 34%

Greece 26%

Finland 20%

Romania 4.9%

Polymarket

$6,322,281 Vol.

Israel 34%

Greece 26%

Finland 20%

Romania 4.9%

Polymarket

$6,322,281 Vol.

icon for Israel

Israel

$95,539 Vol.

34%

icon for Greece

Greece

$43,383 Vol.

26%

icon for Finland

Finland

$48,681 Vol.

20%

icon for Romania

Romania

$61,767 Vol.

5%

icon for Ukraine

Ukraine

$113,281 Vol.

4%

icon for Italy

Italy

$105,342 Vol.

3%

icon for Moldova

Moldova

$326,330 Vol.

2%

icon for France

France

$573,828 Vol.

2%

icon for Denmark

Denmark

$1,399,893 Vol.

1%

icon for Sweden

Sweden

$1,936,444 Vol.

1%

icon for Cyprus

Cyprus

$207,851 Vol.

1%

icon for Bulgaria

Bulgaria

$47,591 Vol.

1%

icon for Poland

Poland

$234,640 Vol.

1%

icon for Serbia

Serbia

$36,913 Vol.

1%

icon for Australia

Australia

$96,969 Vol.

1%

icon for Malta

Malta

$45,374 Vol.

1%

icon for Switzerland

Switzerland

$76,438 Vol.

<1%

icon for Croatia

Croatia

$33,568 Vol.

<1%

icon for Germany

Germany

$54,889 Vol.

<1%

icon for Estonia

Estonia

$218,522 Vol.

<1%

icon for Belgium

Belgium

$88,437 Vol.

<1%

icon for Lithuania

Lithuania

$23,834 Vol.

<1%

icon for Luxembourg

Luxembourg

$54,579 Vol.

<1%

icon for Azerbaijan

Azerbaijan

$43,178 Vol.

<1%

icon for Czechia

Czechia

$25,070 Vol.

<1%

icon for Norway

Norway

$30,806 Vol.

<1%

icon for Armenia

Armenia

$32,251 Vol.

<1%

icon for Georgia

Georgia

$23,723 Vol.

<1%

icon for United Kingdom

United Kingdom

$30,649 Vol.

<1%

icon for Portugal

Portugal

$28,658 Vol.

<1%

icon for Albania

Albania

$28,531 Vol.

<1%

icon for Austria

Austria

$45,551 Vol.

<1%

icon for Latvia

Latvia

$28,571 Vol.

<1%

icon for Montenegro

Montenegro

$37,194 Vol.

<1%

icon for San Marino

San Marino

$44,011 Vol.

<1%

The Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 is scheduled for May 16, 2026. This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the televote in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026. All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Trader consensus on Polymarket positions Israel as the televote frontrunner at 33.5% implied probability for the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final in Vienna, driven by Noam Bettan's multilingual pop entry "Michelle"—released in early March—which has surged in betting markets after strong pre-party reactions and historical televote strength despite geopolitical noise. Greece trails at 23% with Akylas's dynamic "Ferto," a national final standout from mid-February boasting stylistic flair and diaspora voting potential, while Finland's violin-pop duo Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen ("Liekinheitin," UMK winner late February) holds 19.5% amid overall winner favoritism but softer televote polls. The wide-open field reflects pre-rehearsal uncertainty, with first run-throughs this week poised to spotlight staging and live vocals as key differentiators before semis on May 12-14.

The Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 is scheduled for May 16, 2026.

This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the televote in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026.

All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$6,322,281
End Date
May 16, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 19, 2026, 7:40 PM ET
The Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 is scheduled for May 16, 2026. This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the televote in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026. All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
The Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 is scheduled for May 16, 2026. This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the televote in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026. All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Trader consensus on Polymarket positions Israel as the televote frontrunner at 33.5% implied probability for the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final in Vienna, driven by Noam Bettan's multilingual pop entry "Michelle"—released in early March—which has surged in betting markets after strong pre-party reactions and historical televote strength despite geopolitical noise. Greece trails at 23% with Akylas's dynamic "Ferto," a national final standout from mid-February boasting stylistic flair and diaspora voting potential, while Finland's violin-pop duo Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen ("Liekinheitin," UMK winner late February) holds 19.5% amid overall winner favoritism but softer televote polls. The wide-open field reflects pre-rehearsal uncertainty, with first run-throughs this week poised to spotlight staging and live vocals as key differentiators before semis on May 12-14.

The Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 is scheduled for May 16, 2026.

This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the televote in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026.

All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$6,322,281
End Date
May 16, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 19, 2026, 7:40 PM ET
The Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 is scheduled for May 16, 2026. This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the televote in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026. All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Eurovision 2026: Televote Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 35 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Israel" at 34%, followed by "Greece" at 26%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 34¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 34% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Eurovision 2026: Televote Winner" has generated $6.3 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 19, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Eurovision 2026: Televote Winner," browse the 35 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Eurovision 2026: Televote Winner" is "Israel" at 34%, meaning the market assigns a 34% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Greece" at 26%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Eurovision 2026: Televote Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.