Trader consensus on Polymarket tightly clusters around 140-199 X posts for Elon Musk from April 28 to May 5, with 160-179 (19.8%), 180-199 (19.3%), and 140-159 (19.1%) leading as skin-in-the-game bettors weigh his variable daily rhythm against recent benchmarks. Late April data shows 188 posts over April 24-May 1 (27/day average), including 22 on the 28th and 30 on the 29th, with 48 already logged in the first 43% of this window as of May 1 AM amid spikes on fertility crises, political hoaxes, and AI discourse. Competitive dynamics hinge on engagement surges from today's Starlink launch and tomorrow's SpaceX CAS500-2 mission, which could push toward 200+ if cultural buzz amplifies, or sub-140 if he tapers—highlighting the unpredictability of his real-time cultural commentary.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated160-179 19.8%
140-159 19.2%
180-199 18.4%
200-219 14%
$3,669,667 Vol.
$3,669,667 Vol.
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
5%
120-139
12%
140-159
19%
160-179
20%
180-199
18%
200-219
14%
220-239
8%
240-259
4%
260-279
2%
280-299
1%
300-319
1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
160-179 19.8%
140-159 19.2%
180-199 18.4%
200-219 14%
$3,669,667 Vol.
$3,669,667 Vol.
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
5%
120-139
12%
140-159
19%
160-179
20%
180-199
18%
200-219
14%
220-239
8%
240-259
4%
260-279
2%
280-299
1%
300-319
1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Apr 25, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket tightly clusters around 140-199 X posts for Elon Musk from April 28 to May 5, with 160-179 (19.8%), 180-199 (19.3%), and 140-159 (19.1%) leading as skin-in-the-game bettors weigh his variable daily rhythm against recent benchmarks. Late April data shows 188 posts over April 24-May 1 (27/day average), including 22 on the 28th and 30 on the 29th, with 48 already logged in the first 43% of this window as of May 1 AM amid spikes on fertility crises, political hoaxes, and AI discourse. Competitive dynamics hinge on engagement surges from today's Starlink launch and tomorrow's SpaceX CAS500-2 mission, which could push toward 200+ if cultural buzz amplifies, or sub-140 if he tapers—highlighting the unpredictability of his real-time cultural commentary.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
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