Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 180-199 X posts by Elon Musk from April 24 12:00 PM ET to May 1 12:00 PM ET at 94.6 implied probability, driven by official trackers logging 184 posts as of early May 1 after seven full days elapsed, with his daily average holding steady at 26 amid a late-April moderation to 25-28 posts per day—down sharply from March's 42 average. This consistent posting frequency, unaffected by major disruptions over the past week, underpins the frontrunner's dominance despite prior weekly totals like 200-219 for April 17-24. Scenarios challenging this include a pre-deadline surge from breaking Tesla, SpaceX, or platform news, though his recent restraint makes such escalation unlikely.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedElon Musk # tweets April 24 - May 1, 2026?
Elon Musk # tweets April 24 - May 1, 2026?
180-199 94.6%
200-219 6%
220-239 <1%
240-259 <1%
$9,096,159 Vol.
$9,096,159 Vol.
180-199
95%
200-219
6%
220-239
<1%
240-259
<1%
260-279
<1%
280-299
<1%
300-319
<1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580+
<1%
180-199 94.6%
200-219 6%
220-239 <1%
240-259 <1%
$9,096,159 Vol.
$9,096,159 Vol.
180-199
95%
200-219
6%
220-239
<1%
240-259
<1%
260-279
<1%
280-299
<1%
300-319
<1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Apr 21, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 180-199 X posts by Elon Musk from April 24 12:00 PM ET to May 1 12:00 PM ET at 94.6 implied probability, driven by official trackers logging 184 posts as of early May 1 after seven full days elapsed, with his daily average holding steady at 26 amid a late-April moderation to 25-28 posts per day—down sharply from March's 42 average. This consistent posting frequency, unaffected by major disruptions over the past week, underpins the frontrunner's dominance despite prior weekly totals like 200-219 for April 17-24. Scenarios challenging this include a pre-deadline surge from breaking Tesla, SpaceX, or platform news, though his recent restraint makes such escalation unlikely.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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