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Геополітика·світові справи

Сі Цзіньпін вийде до 2027 року?

icon for Сі Цзіньпін вийде до 2027 року?
Геополітика·світові справи

Сі Цзіньпін вийде до 2027 року?

Jun 30

Dec 31

Jun 30

Dec 31

Так

8% шанс
Polymarket

$8,749,972 Обс.

Так

8% шанс
Polymarket

$8,749,972 Обс.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if China's General Secretary of the Communist Party, Xi Jinping, is removed from power for any length of time between July 3, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". CCP General Secretary Xi Jinping will be considered removed from power if he announces his resignation from his role as General Secretary, or is otherwise dismissed, detained, disqualified, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as General Secretary within this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Xi Jinping remaining in power before 2027, with "No" implying a 92.2% probability, reflecting his unchallenged dominance within the Chinese Communist Party. Recent military purges, including the removal of top generals like Zhang Youxia in February 2026 and further high-ranking officers through April, underscore Xi's campaign for absolute loyalty ahead of the 21st Party Congress expected late 2027, where leadership transitions typically occur. Xi's active public role—delivering the 2026 New Year address, presiding over the National People's Congress sessions, and advancing ethnic unity policies—signals no verified health issues, scandals, or elite challenges. While abrupt events like health crises or internal coups could shift odds, historical patterns of Xi-era consolidation reinforce trader confidence in his tenure through the resolution date.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if China's General Secretary of the Communist Party, Xi Jinping, is removed from power for any length of time between July 3, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

CCP General Secretary Xi Jinping will be considered removed from power if he announces his resignation from his role as General Secretary, or is otherwise dismissed, detained, disqualified, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as General Secretary within this market's timeframe.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Обсяг
$8,749,972
Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Jul 3, 2025, 4:35 PM ET

Вирішувач

0x157Ce2d67...

We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if China's General Secretary of the Communist Party, Xi Jinping, is removed from power for any length of time between July 3, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". CCP General Secretary Xi Jinping will be considered removed from power if he announces his resignation from his role as General Secretary, or is otherwise dismissed, detained, disqualified, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as General Secretary within this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if China's General Secretary of the Communist Party, Xi Jinping, is removed from power for any length of time between July 3, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". CCP General Secretary Xi Jinping will be considered removed from power if he announces his resignation from his role as General Secretary, or is otherwise dismissed, detained, disqualified, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as General Secretary within this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Xi Jinping remaining in power before 2027, with "No" implying a 92.2% probability, reflecting his unchallenged dominance within the Chinese Communist Party. Recent military purges, including the removal of top generals like Zhang Youxia in February 2026 and further high-ranking officers through April, underscore Xi's campaign for absolute loyalty ahead of the 21st Party Congress expected late 2027, where leadership transitions typically occur. Xi's active public role—delivering the 2026 New Year address, presiding over the National People's Congress sessions, and advancing ethnic unity policies—signals no verified health issues, scandals, or elite challenges. While abrupt events like health crises or internal coups could shift odds, historical patterns of Xi-era consolidation reinforce trader confidence in his tenure through the resolution date.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if China's General Secretary of the Communist Party, Xi Jinping, is removed from power for any length of time between July 3, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

CCP General Secretary Xi Jinping will be considered removed from power if he announces his resignation from his role as General Secretary, or is otherwise dismissed, detained, disqualified, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as General Secretary within this market's timeframe.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Обсяг
$8,749,972
Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Jul 3, 2025, 4:35 PM ET

Вирішувач

0x157Ce2d67...

We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if China's General Secretary of the Communist Party, Xi Jinping, is removed from power for any length of time between July 3, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". CCP General Secretary Xi Jinping will be considered removed from power if he announces his resignation from his role as General Secretary, or is otherwise dismissed, detained, disqualified, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as General Secretary within this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Сі Цзіньпін вийде до 2027 року?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 2 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Сі Цзіньпін піде до 2027 року?» з 8%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Сі Цзіньпін вийде до 2027 року?» згенерував $8.7 million загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Jul 3, 2025. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Сі Цзіньпін вийде до 2027 року?», перегляньте 2 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Це відкритий ринок. Поточний лідер для «Сі Цзіньпін вийде до 2027 року?» — «Сі Цзіньпін піде до 2027 року?» лише з 8%. Жоден результат не має впевненої більшості — трейдери вважають це дуже невизначеним.

Правила вирішення для «Сі Цзіньпін вийде до 2027 року?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.