Recent proposals for short-term truces, including Russian President Vladimir Putin's Victory Day ceasefire offer on May 9 communicated via U.S. President Donald Trump, have failed to yield broader diplomatic progress, sustaining trader consensus at 90.5% against a Russia-Ukraine ceasefire by June 30. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy countered with a long-term halt proposal and expressed readiness for an immediate 30-day pause, yet ongoing military actions—such as Ukraine's deep strikes into Russia and Russia's large-scale drone and missile barrages—underscore entrenched hostilities. Earlier April Easter truce and stalled U.S.-brokered talks, distracted by Middle East conflicts, highlight persistent negotiation barriers, with Russian advances in Donetsk and Ukrainian counteroffensives signaling no imminent de-escalation despite occasional humanitarian pauses. Late-breaking diplomatic breakthroughs or intensified sanctions could shift odds.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateRussia x Ukraine ceasefire sa pamamagitan ng Hunyo 30, 2026?
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire sa pamamagitan ng Hunyo 30, 2026?
Oo
$7,390,586 Vol.
$7,390,586 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
Oo
$7,390,586 Vol.
$7,390,586 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Russia and Ukraine by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Only ceasefires which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires which only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.Recent proposals for short-term truces, including Russian President Vladimir Putin's Victory Day ceasefire offer on May 9 communicated via U.S. President Donald Trump, have failed to yield broader diplomatic progress, sustaining trader consensus at 90.5% against a Russia-Ukraine ceasefire by June 30. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy countered with a long-term halt proposal and expressed readiness for an immediate 30-day pause, yet ongoing military actions—such as Ukraine's deep strikes into Russia and Russia's large-scale drone and missile barrages—underscore entrenched hostilities. Earlier April Easter truce and stalled U.S.-brokered talks, distracted by Middle East conflicts, highlight persistent negotiation barriers, with Russian advances in Donetsk and Ukrainian counteroffensives signaling no imminent de-escalation despite occasional humanitarian pauses. Late-breaking diplomatic breakthroughs or intensified sanctions could shift odds.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Russia and Ukraine by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Only ceasefires which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires which only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Only ceasefires which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires which only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.
Binuksan ang Market: Jan 13, 2026, 2:18 PM ET
Volume
$7,390,586Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 30, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jan 13, 2026, 2:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Russia and Ukraine by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Only ceasefires which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires which only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.Recent proposals for short-term truces, including Russian President Vladimir Putin's Victory Day ceasefire offer on May 9 communicated via U.S. President Donald Trump, have failed to yield broader diplomatic progress, sustaining trader consensus at 90.5% against a Russia-Ukraine ceasefire by June 30. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy countered with a long-term halt proposal and expressed readiness for an immediate 30-day pause, yet ongoing military actions—such as Ukraine's deep strikes into Russia and Russia's large-scale drone and missile barrages—underscore entrenched hostilities. Earlier April Easter truce and stalled U.S.-brokered talks, distracted by Middle East conflicts, highlight persistent negotiation barriers, with Russian advances in Donetsk and Ukrainian counteroffensives signaling no imminent de-escalation despite occasional humanitarian pauses. Late-breaking diplomatic breakthroughs or intensified sanctions could shift odds.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Russia and Ukraine by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Only ceasefires which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires which only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Only ceasefires which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires which only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.
Volume
$7,390,586Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 30, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jan 13, 2026, 2:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent proposals for short-term truces, including Russian President Vladimir Putin's Victory Day ceasefire offer on May 9 communicated via U.S. President Donald Trump, have failed to yield broader diplomatic progress, sustaining trader consensus at 90.5% against a Russia-Ukraine ceasefire by June 30. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy countered with a long-term halt proposal and expressed readiness for an immediate 30-day pause, yet ongoing military actions—such as Ukraine's deep strikes into Russia and Russia's large-scale drone and missile barrages—underscore entrenched hostilities. Earlier April Easter truce and stalled U.S.-brokered talks, distracted by Middle East conflicts, highlight persistent negotiation barriers, with Russian advances in Donetsk and Ukrainian counteroffensives signaling no imminent de-escalation despite occasional humanitarian pauses. Late-breaking diplomatic breakthroughs or intensified sanctions could shift odds.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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