Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 40-64 tweets by Elon Musk from April 30 to May 2 at 72.5% implied probability, driven by a current tally of 20 posts at the 50% mark through the period as of early May 1, aligning with late April's moderated pace after higher March volumes averaging 42 daily that dipped to 28 in April. Recent xAI's Grok 4.3 launch and Starlink expansions in Gibraltar sparked replies on AI benchmarks and global connectivity, sustaining steady but not explosive activity amid political commentary on fertility declines and voter rolls. Variability persists—viral debates or X platform updates like the May 5 ad upgrade could accelerate May 2 output, while quiet periods remain possible per historical swings.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว40-64 71%
<40 23%
65-89 8%
90-114 1.1%
$499,235 ปริมาณ
$499,235 ปริมาณ
May 2, 2026
<40
23%
40-64
71%
65-89
8%
90-114
1%
115-139
<1%
140-164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
40-64 71%
<40 23%
65-89 8%
90-114 1.1%
$499,235 ปริมาณ
$499,235 ปริมาณ
May 2, 2026
<40
$109,281 ปริมาณ
23%
40-64
$43,983 ปริมาณ
71%
65-89
$51,686 ปริมาณ
8%
90-114
$53,954 ปริมาณ
1%
115-139
$52,356 ปริมาณ
<1%
140-164
$50,579 ปริมาณ
<1%
165-189
$40,622 ปริมาณ
<1%
190-214
$42,910 ปริมาณ
<1%
215-239
$29,867 ปริมาณ
<1%
240+
$25,217 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 30 12:00 PM ET to May 2, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 40-64 tweets by Elon Musk from April 30 to May 2 at 72.5% implied probability, driven by a current tally of 20 posts at the 50% mark through the period as of early May 1, aligning with late April's moderated pace after higher March volumes averaging 42 daily that dipped to 28 in April. Recent xAI's Grok 4.3 launch and Starlink expansions in Gibraltar sparked replies on AI benchmarks and global connectivity, sustaining steady but not explosive activity amid political commentary on fertility declines and voter rolls. Variability persists—viral debates or X platform updates like the May 5 ad upgrade could accelerate May 2 output, while quiet periods remain possible per historical swings.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 30 12:00 PM ET to May 2, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 27, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$499,235วันสิ้นสุด
May 2, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 27, 2026, 12:01 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 30 12:00 PM ET to May 2, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 40-64 tweets by Elon Musk from April 30 to May 2 at 72.5% implied probability, driven by a current tally of 20 posts at the 50% mark through the period as of early May 1, aligning with late April's moderated pace after higher March volumes averaging 42 daily that dipped to 28 in April. Recent xAI's Grok 4.3 launch and Starlink expansions in Gibraltar sparked replies on AI benchmarks and global connectivity, sustaining steady but not explosive activity amid political commentary on fertility declines and voter rolls. Variability persists—viral debates or X platform updates like the May 5 ad upgrade could accelerate May 2 output, while quiet periods remain possible per historical swings.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 30 12:00 PM ET to May 2, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$499,235วันสิ้นสุด
May 2, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 27, 2026, 12:01 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 40-64 tweets by Elon Musk from April 30 to May 2 at 72.5% implied probability, driven by a current tally of 20 posts at the 50% mark through the period as of early May 1, aligning with late April's moderated pace after higher March volumes averaging 42 daily that dipped to 28 in April. Recent xAI's Grok 4.3 launch and Starlink expansions in Gibraltar sparked replies on AI benchmarks and global connectivity, sustaining steady but not explosive activity amid political commentary on fertility declines and voter rolls. Variability persists—viral debates or X platform updates like the May 5 ad upgrade could accelerate May 2 output, while quiet periods remain possible per historical swings.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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