Following the intense 1-1 first-leg draw in Madrid—decided by dueling penalties—Arsenal enters the Champions League semi-final second leg at Emirates Stadium as the 57.5% implied favorite, bolstered by their formidable home form and Atletico Madrid's deepening injury crisis. Diego Simeone's side will miss key defender José María Giménez (muscle), midfielder Pablo Barrios (thigh), and winger Nico González (thigh), with striker Julián Álvarez a major doubt after a first-leg knock. Arsenal coped without Kai Havertz (groin) and Jurriën Timber (hip) last week, while their high-pressing style exploits Atletico's depleted backline, pricing a draw at 24.5% and an away win at 18.5% amid Simeone's typical defensive setup.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedIf Arsenal FC wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Market Opened: Apr 22, 2026, 2:01 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.uefa.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If Arsenal FC wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Market Opened: Apr 22, 2026, 2:01 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.uefa.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Following the intense 1-1 first-leg draw in Madrid—decided by dueling penalties—Arsenal enters the Champions League semi-final second leg at Emirates Stadium as the 57.5% implied favorite, bolstered by their formidable home form and Atletico Madrid's deepening injury crisis. Diego Simeone's side will miss key defender José María Giménez (muscle), midfielder Pablo Barrios (thigh), and winger Nico González (thigh), with striker Julián Álvarez a major doubt after a first-leg knock. Arsenal coped without Kai Havertz (groin) and Jurriën Timber (hip) last week, while their high-pressing style exploits Atletico's depleted backline, pricing a draw at 24.5% and an away win at 18.5% amid Simeone's typical defensive setup.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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