Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 97.4% implied probability to OpenAI securing second-highest weekly revenue among AI companies for May 4-10, driven primarily by yesterday's official announcement that its newly launched GPT-5.5 large language model marks the strongest release yet, with API revenue surging over twice as fast as prior versions and Codex doubling revenue in just seven days amid booming enterprise demand for agentic coding tools. This fresh momentum reinforces OpenAI's consistent historical positioning as runner-up to Google's dominant AI revenue from Gemini integrations, despite Anthropic recently surpassing OpenAI's $25 billion annualized run-rate with $30 billion via Claude enterprise adoption. Challenges could arise from Anthropic's explosive growth accelerating further or an unexpected Google slowdown, though proximity to resolution limits volatility.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाOpenAI 97.4%
Google 3.2%
Anthropic 1.1%
DeepSeek <1%
नया
नया
10 मई, 2026
OpenAI
97%
3%
Anthropic
1%
DeepSeek
1%
MiniMax
<1%
xAI
<1%
Z.ai
<1%
Xiaomi
<1%
OpenAI 97.4%
Google 3.2%
Anthropic 1.1%
DeepSeek <1%
नया
नया
10 मई, 2026
OpenAI
$1,585 वॉल्यूम
97%
$727 वॉल्यूम
3%
Anthropic
$454 वॉल्यूम
1%
DeepSeek
$429 वॉल्यूम
1%
MiniMax
$391 वॉल्यूम
<1%
xAI
$407 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Z.ai
$495 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Xiaomi
$618 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve according to the model family that has the second-highest total estimated inference revenue based on Anera's data published at https://anera.markets/intelligence/model-family for the specified week.
The week’s values will be determined by summing the respective companies' estimated revenue figures for each day within the specified period. If data for all specified days is not released by 7:00 PM ET on the second day following the final date, this market will resolve based on data available at that time. Entries labeled “Other” will not be considered a model family for the purposes of this market. Revisions to published data will be considered only until all relevant data for the specified period has been released.
Model families will be ranked primarily by their total estimated inference revenue over the specified seven-day period, with alphabetical order of model family names as listed in this market group used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if two model families are exactly tied, “Anthropic” would be ranked ahead of “OpenAI”). This market will resolve based on the model family that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is data published by Anera Intelligence at https://anera.markets/intelligence/model-family. If the relevant data for the full period is not available by 7:00 PM ET on the second day following the final date, this market will resolve based on data available at that time. If this resolution source is unavailable, this market will remain open until the data becomes available and will resolve based on the first subsequent check.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 97.4% implied probability to OpenAI securing second-highest weekly revenue among AI companies for May 4-10, driven primarily by yesterday's official announcement that its newly launched GPT-5.5 large language model marks the strongest release yet, with API revenue surging over twice as fast as prior versions and Codex doubling revenue in just seven days amid booming enterprise demand for agentic coding tools. This fresh momentum reinforces OpenAI's consistent historical positioning as runner-up to Google's dominant AI revenue from Gemini integrations, despite Anthropic recently surpassing OpenAI's $25 billion annualized run-rate with $30 billion via Claude enterprise adoption. Challenges could arise from Anthropic's explosive growth accelerating further or an unexpected Google slowdown, though proximity to resolution limits volatility.
This market will resolve according to the model family that has the second-highest total estimated inference revenue based on Anera's data published at https://anera.markets/intelligence/model-family for the specified week.
The week’s values will be determined by summing the respective companies' estimated revenue figures for each day within the specified period. If data for all specified days is not released by 7:00 PM ET on the second day following the final date, this market will resolve based on data available at that time. Entries labeled “Other” will not be considered a model family for the purposes of this market. Revisions to published data will be considered only until all relevant data for the specified period has been released.
Model families will be ranked primarily by their total estimated inference revenue over the specified seven-day period, with alphabetical order of model family names as listed in this market group used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if two model families are exactly tied, “Anthropic” would be ranked ahead of “OpenAI”). This market will resolve based on the model family that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is data published by Anera Intelligence at https://anera.markets/intelligence/model-family. If the relevant data for the full period is not available by 7:00 PM ET on the second day following the final date, this market will resolve based on data available at that time. If this resolution source is unavailable, this market will remain open until the data becomes available and will resolve based on the first subsequent check.
The week’s values will be determined by summing the respective companies' estimated revenue figures for each day within the specified period. If data for all specified days is not released by 7:00 PM ET on the second day following the final date, this market will resolve based on data available at that time. Entries labeled “Other” will not be considered a model family for the purposes of this market. Revisions to published data will be considered only until all relevant data for the specified period has been released.
Model families will be ranked primarily by their total estimated inference revenue over the specified seven-day period, with alphabetical order of model family names as listed in this market group used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if two model families are exactly tied, “Anthropic” would be ranked ahead of “OpenAI”). This market will resolve based on the model family that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is data published by Anera Intelligence at https://anera.markets/intelligence/model-family. If the relevant data for the full period is not available by 7:00 PM ET on the second day following the final date, this market will resolve based on data available at that time. If this resolution source is unavailable, this market will remain open until the data becomes available and will resolve based on the first subsequent check.
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 30, 2026, 3:51 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$5,105समाप्ति तिथि
10 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 30, 2026, 3:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the model family that has the second-highest total estimated inference revenue based on Anera's data published at https://anera.markets/intelligence/model-family for the specified week.
The week’s values will be determined by summing the respective companies' estimated revenue figures for each day within the specified period. If data for all specified days is not released by 7:00 PM ET on the second day following the final date, this market will resolve based on data available at that time. Entries labeled “Other” will not be considered a model family for the purposes of this market. Revisions to published data will be considered only until all relevant data for the specified period has been released.
Model families will be ranked primarily by their total estimated inference revenue over the specified seven-day period, with alphabetical order of model family names as listed in this market group used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if two model families are exactly tied, “Anthropic” would be ranked ahead of “OpenAI”). This market will resolve based on the model family that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is data published by Anera Intelligence at https://anera.markets/intelligence/model-family. If the relevant data for the full period is not available by 7:00 PM ET on the second day following the final date, this market will resolve based on data available at that time. If this resolution source is unavailable, this market will remain open until the data becomes available and will resolve based on the first subsequent check.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 97.4% implied probability to OpenAI securing second-highest weekly revenue among AI companies for May 4-10, driven primarily by yesterday's official announcement that its newly launched GPT-5.5 large language model marks the strongest release yet, with API revenue surging over twice as fast as prior versions and Codex doubling revenue in just seven days amid booming enterprise demand for agentic coding tools. This fresh momentum reinforces OpenAI's consistent historical positioning as runner-up to Google's dominant AI revenue from Gemini integrations, despite Anthropic recently surpassing OpenAI's $25 billion annualized run-rate with $30 billion via Claude enterprise adoption. Challenges could arise from Anthropic's explosive growth accelerating further or an unexpected Google slowdown, though proximity to resolution limits volatility.
This market will resolve according to the model family that has the second-highest total estimated inference revenue based on Anera's data published at https://anera.markets/intelligence/model-family for the specified week.
The week’s values will be determined by summing the respective companies' estimated revenue figures for each day within the specified period. If data for all specified days is not released by 7:00 PM ET on the second day following the final date, this market will resolve based on data available at that time. Entries labeled “Other” will not be considered a model family for the purposes of this market. Revisions to published data will be considered only until all relevant data for the specified period has been released.
Model families will be ranked primarily by their total estimated inference revenue over the specified seven-day period, with alphabetical order of model family names as listed in this market group used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if two model families are exactly tied, “Anthropic” would be ranked ahead of “OpenAI”). This market will resolve based on the model family that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is data published by Anera Intelligence at https://anera.markets/intelligence/model-family. If the relevant data for the full period is not available by 7:00 PM ET on the second day following the final date, this market will resolve based on data available at that time. If this resolution source is unavailable, this market will remain open until the data becomes available and will resolve based on the first subsequent check.
The week’s values will be determined by summing the respective companies' estimated revenue figures for each day within the specified period. If data for all specified days is not released by 7:00 PM ET on the second day following the final date, this market will resolve based on data available at that time. Entries labeled “Other” will not be considered a model family for the purposes of this market. Revisions to published data will be considered only until all relevant data for the specified period has been released.
Model families will be ranked primarily by their total estimated inference revenue over the specified seven-day period, with alphabetical order of model family names as listed in this market group used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if two model families are exactly tied, “Anthropic” would be ranked ahead of “OpenAI”). This market will resolve based on the model family that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is data published by Anera Intelligence at https://anera.markets/intelligence/model-family. If the relevant data for the full period is not available by 7:00 PM ET on the second day following the final date, this market will resolve based on data available at that time. If this resolution source is unavailable, this market will remain open until the data becomes available and will resolve based on the first subsequent check.
वॉल्यूम
$5,105समाप्ति तिथि
10 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 30, 2026, 3:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 97.4% implied probability to OpenAI securing second-highest weekly revenue among AI companies for May 4-10, driven primarily by yesterday's official announcement that its newly launched GPT-5.5 large language model marks the strongest release yet, with API revenue surging over twice as fast as prior versions and Codex doubling revenue in just seven days amid booming enterprise demand for agentic coding tools. This fresh momentum reinforces OpenAI's consistent historical positioning as runner-up to Google's dominant AI revenue from Gemini integrations, despite Anthropic recently surpassing OpenAI's $25 billion annualized run-rate with $30 billion via Claude enterprise adoption. Challenges could arise from Anthropic's explosive growth accelerating further or an unexpected Google slowdown, though proximity to resolution limits volatility.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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