Trader consensus reflects deep skepticism of a comprehensive Russia-Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, driven by persistent military escalations and stalled diplomatic efforts despite recent U.S.-brokered talks. Russian President Putin proposed a temporary May 9 Victory Day truce in a call with President Trump, but Ukraine's Zelenskyy demanded details via Washington, viewing it as a potential Moscow propaganda stunt rather than a path to lasting peace. Ongoing Russian advances in Donetsk and Sumy oblasts, coupled with Ukrainian long-range strikes on Russian oil refineries as of late April, underscore active hostilities with no de-escalation signals. Prior Easter and short-term truces collapsed amid mutual violations, reinforcing doubts over maximalist positions converging in time. A breakthrough would require unexpected concessions on territory and security guarantees.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया31 मई, 2026 तक रूस और यूक्रेन के बीच संघर्ष विराम?
31 मई, 2026 तक रूस और यूक्रेन के बीच संघर्ष विराम?
हाँ
$1,862,158 वॉल्यूम
$1,862,158 वॉल्यूम
31 मई, 2026
हाँ
$1,862,158 वॉल्यूम
$1,862,158 वॉल्यूम
31 मई, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Russia and Ukraine by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Only ceasefires which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires which only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.Trader consensus reflects deep skepticism of a comprehensive Russia-Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, driven by persistent military escalations and stalled diplomatic efforts despite recent U.S.-brokered talks. Russian President Putin proposed a temporary May 9 Victory Day truce in a call with President Trump, but Ukraine's Zelenskyy demanded details via Washington, viewing it as a potential Moscow propaganda stunt rather than a path to lasting peace. Ongoing Russian advances in Donetsk and Sumy oblasts, coupled with Ukrainian long-range strikes on Russian oil refineries as of late April, underscore active hostilities with no de-escalation signals. Prior Easter and short-term truces collapsed amid mutual violations, reinforcing doubts over maximalist positions converging in time. A breakthrough would require unexpected concessions on territory and security guarantees.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Russia and Ukraine by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Only ceasefires which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires which only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Only ceasefires which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires which only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.
बाज़ार खुला: Mar 31, 2026, 4:00 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$1,862,158समाप्ति तिथि
31 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 31, 2026, 4:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Russia and Ukraine by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Only ceasefires which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires which only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.Trader consensus reflects deep skepticism of a comprehensive Russia-Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, driven by persistent military escalations and stalled diplomatic efforts despite recent U.S.-brokered talks. Russian President Putin proposed a temporary May 9 Victory Day truce in a call with President Trump, but Ukraine's Zelenskyy demanded details via Washington, viewing it as a potential Moscow propaganda stunt rather than a path to lasting peace. Ongoing Russian advances in Donetsk and Sumy oblasts, coupled with Ukrainian long-range strikes on Russian oil refineries as of late April, underscore active hostilities with no de-escalation signals. Prior Easter and short-term truces collapsed amid mutual violations, reinforcing doubts over maximalist positions converging in time. A breakthrough would require unexpected concessions on territory and security guarantees.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Russia and Ukraine by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Only ceasefires which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires which only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Only ceasefires which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires which only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.
वॉल्यूम
$1,863,270समाप्ति तिथि
31 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 31, 2026, 4:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus reflects deep skepticism of a comprehensive Russia-Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, driven by persistent military escalations and stalled diplomatic efforts despite recent U.S.-brokered talks. Russian President Putin proposed a temporary May 9 Victory Day truce in a call with President Trump, but Ukraine's Zelenskyy demanded details via Washington, viewing it as a potential Moscow propaganda stunt rather than a path to lasting peace. Ongoing Russian advances in Donetsk and Sumy oblasts, coupled with Ukrainian long-range strikes on Russian oil refineries as of late April, underscore active hostilities with no de-escalation signals. Prior Easter and short-term truces collapsed amid mutual violations, reinforcing doubts over maximalist positions converging in time. A breakthrough would require unexpected concessions on territory and security guarantees.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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