Trader consensus on Polymarket positions the 40-64 posts range as the frontrunner at 51.5% implied probability for Elon Musk's X activity from May 2-4, reflecting his recent average of 27 posts per day over April 24-May 1 (188 total), tempered by high variability—peaks like 48 on Friday April 25 and 40 on Sunday April 27, but lows of 19 on Saturday and 12-13 midweek. This calibrates expectations for the upcoming Saturday-Monday stretch, where weekend patterns show mixed engagement without major catalysts like product launches or viral controversies in the last 48 hours. Steady rolling 7-day totals around 196 posts underscore the wisdom of crowds, though sudden news cycles could swing toward 65-89 (26.5%) as markets track real-time via trackers like XTracker.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया40-64 51%
65-89 27%
<40 12%
90-114 8%
नया
$33,439 वॉल्यूम
नया
$33,439 वॉल्यूम
4 मई, 2026
<40
12%
40-64
51%
65-89
27%
90-114
8%
115-139
3%
140-164
1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
40-64 51%
65-89 27%
<40 12%
90-114 8%
नया
$33,439 वॉल्यूम
नया
$33,439 वॉल्यूम
4 मई, 2026
<40
$4,169 वॉल्यूम
12%
40-64
$3,204 वॉल्यूम
51%
65-89
$1,652 वॉल्यूम
27%
90-114
$7,922 वॉल्यूम
8%
115-139
$1,792 वॉल्यूम
3%
140-164
$2,199 वॉल्यूम
1%
165-189
$1,069 वॉल्यूम
<1%
190-214
$3,518 वॉल्यूम
<1%
215-239
$2,879 वॉल्यूम
<1%
240+
$5,235 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 2 12:00 PM ET to May 4, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket positions the 40-64 posts range as the frontrunner at 51.5% implied probability for Elon Musk's X activity from May 2-4, reflecting his recent average of 27 posts per day over April 24-May 1 (188 total), tempered by high variability—peaks like 48 on Friday April 25 and 40 on Sunday April 27, but lows of 19 on Saturday and 12-13 midweek. This calibrates expectations for the upcoming Saturday-Monday stretch, where weekend patterns show mixed engagement without major catalysts like product launches or viral controversies in the last 48 hours. Steady rolling 7-day totals around 196 posts underscore the wisdom of crowds, though sudden news cycles could swing toward 65-89 (26.5%) as markets track real-time via trackers like XTracker.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 2 12:00 PM ET to May 4, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 30, 2026, 12:02 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$33,439समाप्ति तिथि
4 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 30, 2026, 12:02 PM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 2 12:00 PM ET to May 4, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket positions the 40-64 posts range as the frontrunner at 51.5% implied probability for Elon Musk's X activity from May 2-4, reflecting his recent average of 27 posts per day over April 24-May 1 (188 total), tempered by high variability—peaks like 48 on Friday April 25 and 40 on Sunday April 27, but lows of 19 on Saturday and 12-13 midweek. This calibrates expectations for the upcoming Saturday-Monday stretch, where weekend patterns show mixed engagement without major catalysts like product launches or viral controversies in the last 48 hours. Steady rolling 7-day totals around 196 posts underscore the wisdom of crowds, though sudden news cycles could swing toward 65-89 (26.5%) as markets track real-time via trackers like XTracker.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 2 12:00 PM ET to May 4, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
वॉल्यूम
$33,439समाप्ति तिथि
4 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 30, 2026, 12:02 PM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket positions the 40-64 posts range as the frontrunner at 51.5% implied probability for Elon Musk's X activity from May 2-4, reflecting his recent average of 27 posts per day over April 24-May 1 (188 total), tempered by high variability—peaks like 48 on Friday April 25 and 40 on Sunday April 27, but lows of 19 on Saturday and 12-13 midweek. This calibrates expectations for the upcoming Saturday-Monday stretch, where weekend patterns show mixed engagement without major catalysts like product launches or viral controversies in the last 48 hours. Steady rolling 7-day totals around 196 posts underscore the wisdom of crowds, though sudden news cycles could swing toward 65-89 (26.5%) as markets track real-time via trackers like XTracker.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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