WTI crude oil prices have surged above $105 per barrel in early May 2026, driven by escalating geopolitical tensions including Iranian-linked attacks on shipping in the Strait of Hormuz and U.S. blockade signals, alongside Ukraine's strikes on Russian Black Sea oil facilities. This risk premium overshadowed slightly elevated U.S. crude inventories at 459.5 million barrels—1% above the five-year average per latest EIA data—and OPEC+ production adjustments announced in early April that paused hikes amid supply paralysis. Forward futures curve slopes downward, with June 2026 contracts near $105 implying trader expectations of easing pressures. Key catalysts ahead include weekly EIA inventory reports and the IEA Oil Market Report on May 13, alongside any OPEC+ responses to Hormuz disruptions.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert$2,882,122 Vol.
↑ $200
2%
↑ $150
7%
↑ $140
12%
↑ $130
27%
↑ $120
42%
↑ $115
59%
↑ $110
72%
↑ $105
90%
↓ $95
82%
↓ $90
68%
↓ $85
42%
↓ $80
30%
↓ $70
8%
↓ $60
3%
↓ $50
1%
↓ $40
1%
↓ $20
<1%
↓ $30
<1%
$2,882,122 Vol.
↑ $200
2%
↑ $150
7%
↑ $140
12%
↑ $130
27%
↑ $120
42%
↑ $115
59%
↑ $110
72%
↑ $105
90%
↓ $95
82%
↓ $90
68%
↓ $85
42%
↓ $80
30%
↓ $70
8%
↓ $60
3%
↓ $50
1%
↓ $40
1%
↓ $20
<1%
↓ $30
<1%
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during the applicable trading session for the underlying market will be considered. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.
Per CME contract specifications for WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures, a contract’s last trading day is three business days prior to the 25th calendar day of the month preceding the contract's delivery month (or four business days prior if the 25th calendar day is not a business day).
The active month changes at the start of the second trading session prior to the nearest listed contract’s last trading session. At that point, the next listed contract becomes the active month (i.e., for the final three trading sessions of the nearest listed contract, the contract for the next month is the active month). The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date.
For example, if the 25th of the month is a Saturday, the last trading session for the nearest listed contract is the session for Tuesday the 21st, and the next listed contract becomes the active month at the start of the trading session for Friday the 17th (6:00 PM ET on Thursday), assuming a standard trading calendar.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily low price published for the Active Month WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures contract by CME Group may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Active Month WTI Crude Oil futures "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTI, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
Markt eröffnet: May 1, 2026, 9:49 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTIResolver
0x65070BE91...Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during the applicable trading session for the underlying market will be considered. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.
Per CME contract specifications for WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures, a contract’s last trading day is three business days prior to the 25th calendar day of the month preceding the contract's delivery month (or four business days prior if the 25th calendar day is not a business day).
The active month changes at the start of the second trading session prior to the nearest listed contract’s last trading session. At that point, the next listed contract becomes the active month (i.e., for the final three trading sessions of the nearest listed contract, the contract for the next month is the active month). The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date.
For example, if the 25th of the month is a Saturday, the last trading session for the nearest listed contract is the session for Tuesday the 21st, and the next listed contract becomes the active month at the start of the trading session for Friday the 17th (6:00 PM ET on Thursday), assuming a standard trading calendar.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily low price published for the Active Month WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures contract by CME Group may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Active Month WTI Crude Oil futures "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTI, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTIResolver
0x65070BE91...WTI crude oil prices have surged above $105 per barrel in early May 2026, driven by escalating geopolitical tensions including Iranian-linked attacks on shipping in the Strait of Hormuz and U.S. blockade signals, alongside Ukraine's strikes on Russian Black Sea oil facilities. This risk premium overshadowed slightly elevated U.S. crude inventories at 459.5 million barrels—1% above the five-year average per latest EIA data—and OPEC+ production adjustments announced in early April that paused hikes amid supply paralysis. Forward futures curve slopes downward, with June 2026 contracts near $105 implying trader expectations of easing pressures. Key catalysts ahead include weekly EIA inventory reports and the IEA Oil Market Report on May 13, alongside any OPEC+ responses to Hormuz disruptions.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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