WTI crude oil front-month futures trade near $102 per barrel after surging past $105 earlier this week, propelled by the ongoing 2026 Strait of Hormuz crisis where Iranian disruptions threaten 20% of global supply flows, layering a steep geopolitical risk premium into pricing. A 6.2 million barrel U.S. inventory drawdown for the week ended April 24—far exceeding expectations and dipping stocks to levels below five-year averages—reinforces supply tightness amid robust exports. EIA's Short-Term Energy Outlook projects Brent peaking around $115/bbl in Q2 2026 on constrained fundamentals. Key catalysts include the May 6 EIA report for the week ended April 29 and the OPEC+ ministerial meeting on June 7, which could dictate production adjustments influencing the end-June trajectory.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertWird Rohöl (CL) bis Ende Juni __ erreichen?
Wird Rohöl (CL) bis Ende Juni __ erreichen?
$13,373,300 Vol.
↑ $200
4%
↑ $175
7%
↑ $150
14%
↑ $140
21%
↑ $130
37%
↑ $120
56%
↑ $115
65%
↓ $80
51%
↓ $70
20%
↓ $60
8%
↓ $55
4%
↓ 52 $
3%
↓ $50
2%
↓ $47
2%
↓ $45
1%
↓ 40 $
2%
↓ $35
1%
$13,373,300 Vol.
↑ $200
4%
↑ $175
7%
↑ $150
14%
↑ $140
21%
↑ $130
37%
↑ $120
56%
↑ $115
65%
↓ $80
51%
↓ $70
20%
↓ $60
8%
↓ $55
4%
↓ 52 $
3%
↓ $50
2%
↓ $47
2%
↓ $45
1%
↓ 40 $
2%
↓ $35
1%
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 3, 2026, 3:47 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...WTI crude oil front-month futures trade near $102 per barrel after surging past $105 earlier this week, propelled by the ongoing 2026 Strait of Hormuz crisis where Iranian disruptions threaten 20% of global supply flows, layering a steep geopolitical risk premium into pricing. A 6.2 million barrel U.S. inventory drawdown for the week ended April 24—far exceeding expectations and dipping stocks to levels below five-year averages—reinforces supply tightness amid robust exports. EIA's Short-Term Energy Outlook projects Brent peaking around $115/bbl in Q2 2026 on constrained fundamentals. Key catalysts include the May 6 EIA report for the week ended April 29 and the OPEC+ ministerial meeting on June 7, which could dictate production adjustments influencing the end-June trajectory.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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