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Welt·RBA

Entscheidung der Reserve Bank of Australia im Juni?

icon for Entscheidung der Reserve Bank of Australia im Juni?
Welt·RBA

Entscheidung der Reserve Bank of Australia im Juni?

Mai 5

Juni 16

Mai 5

Juni 16

Keine Änderung 56%

Erhöhung 45%

Senkung 1.8%

Polymarket

$19,379 Vol.

Keine Änderung 56%

Erhöhung 45%

Senkung 1.8%

Polymarket

$19,379 Vol.

Senkung

$6,143 Vol.

2%

Keine Änderung

$6,556 Vol.

53%

Erhöhung

$6,680 Vol.

46%

This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the cash rate resulting from the Reserve Bank of Australia Monetary Policy Board’s June meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of Australia after its June 16, 2026 meeting, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of Australia calendar: https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/board-meeting-schedules.html This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of Australia's media release for their June 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the target for the cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 56% implied probability of no change at the Reserve Bank of Australia's June 2026 meeting, slightly ahead of a 44% chance of a rate increase from the current 4.10% cash rate target, with cuts at just 1.8%. This positioning reflects March 2026 CPI surging to 4.6% year-on-year—its highest since September 2023—driven by energy volatility amid Middle East tensions, reinforcing tightening expectations following consecutive hikes to 4.10%. However, steady underlying trimmed mean inflation at 3.3% and resilient March employment growth of 17,900 jobs (unemployment holding near 4.3%) temper aggressive bets, suggesting a potential pause post the pivotal May 5 decision. Key swing factors include April-quarter CPI due late May and labor data ahead of June.

This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the cash rate resulting from the Reserve Bank of Australia Monetary Policy Board’s June meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.

The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of Australia after its June 16, 2026 meeting, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of Australia calendar: https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/board-meeting-schedules.html

This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of Australia's media release for their June 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the target for the cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.
Volumen
$19,379
Enddatum
16. Juni 2026
Markt eröffnet
Mar 19, 2026, 7:28 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the cash rate resulting from the Reserve Bank of Australia Monetary Policy Board’s June meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of Australia after its June 16, 2026 meeting, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of Australia calendar: https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/board-meeting-schedules.html This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of Australia's media release for their June 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the target for the cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the cash rate resulting from the Reserve Bank of Australia Monetary Policy Board’s June meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of Australia after its June 16, 2026 meeting, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of Australia calendar: https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/board-meeting-schedules.html This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of Australia's media release for their June 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the target for the cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 56% implied probability of no change at the Reserve Bank of Australia's June 2026 meeting, slightly ahead of a 44% chance of a rate increase from the current 4.10% cash rate target, with cuts at just 1.8%. This positioning reflects March 2026 CPI surging to 4.6% year-on-year—its highest since September 2023—driven by energy volatility amid Middle East tensions, reinforcing tightening expectations following consecutive hikes to 4.10%. However, steady underlying trimmed mean inflation at 3.3% and resilient March employment growth of 17,900 jobs (unemployment holding near 4.3%) temper aggressive bets, suggesting a potential pause post the pivotal May 5 decision. Key swing factors include April-quarter CPI due late May and labor data ahead of June.

This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the cash rate resulting from the Reserve Bank of Australia Monetary Policy Board’s June meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.

The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of Australia after its June 16, 2026 meeting, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of Australia calendar: https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/board-meeting-schedules.html

This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of Australia's media release for their June 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the target for the cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.
Volumen
$19,379
Enddatum
16. Juni 2026
Markt eröffnet
Mar 19, 2026, 7:28 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the cash rate resulting from the Reserve Bank of Australia Monetary Policy Board’s June meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of Australia after its June 16, 2026 meeting, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of Australia calendar: https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/board-meeting-schedules.html This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of Australia's media release for their June 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the target for the cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Entscheidung der Reserve Bank of Australia im Juni?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 3 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Keine Änderung" mit 53%, gefolgt von „Erhöhung" mit 46%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 53¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 53% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Entscheidung der Reserve Bank of Australia im Juni?" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $19.4K generiert, seit der Markt am Mar 19, 2026 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

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Der aktuelle Favorit für „Entscheidung der Reserve Bank of Australia im Juni?" ist „Keine Änderung" mit 53%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 53% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Erhöhung" mit 46%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

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