US-Iran nuclear negotiations remain deadlocked over uranium enrichment limits, driving trader consensus to an 86.5% implied probability against Iran publicly agreeing to end all enrichment by May 31. Mid-April talks in Islamabad collapsed after the US demanded a 20-year moratorium, which Iran countered with only five years, highlighting irreconcilable positions on Tehran's nuclear rights. Iran's recent proposal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz and end hostilities while postponing nuclear discussions was rejected by the Trump administration, which maintains a naval blockade to enforce sanctions until a comprehensive deal materializes. IAEA reports confirm Iran's continued stockpile of near-weapons-grade uranium at 60% purity, with limited inspector access, underscoring verification challenges amid the compressed timeline.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডIran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?
$86,496 Vol.
$86,496 Vol.
May 31, 2026
$86,496 Vol.
$86,496 Vol.
May 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. US-Iran nuclear negotiations remain deadlocked over uranium enrichment limits, driving trader consensus to an 86.5% implied probability against Iran publicly agreeing to end all enrichment by May 31. Mid-April talks in Islamabad collapsed after the US demanded a 20-year moratorium, which Iran countered with only five years, highlighting irreconcilable positions on Tehran's nuclear rights. Iran's recent proposal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz and end hostilities while postponing nuclear discussions was rejected by the Trump administration, which maintains a naval blockade to enforce sanctions until a comprehensive deal materializes. IAEA reports confirm Iran's continued stockpile of near-weapons-grade uranium at 60% purity, with limited inspector access, underscoring verification challenges amid the compressed timeline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Apr 28, 2026, 10:39 PM ET
ভলিউম
$86,496শেষ তারিখ
May 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Apr 28, 2026, 10:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. US-Iran nuclear negotiations remain deadlocked over uranium enrichment limits, driving trader consensus to an 86.5% implied probability against Iran publicly agreeing to end all enrichment by May 31. Mid-April talks in Islamabad collapsed after the US demanded a 20-year moratorium, which Iran countered with only five years, highlighting irreconcilable positions on Tehran's nuclear rights. Iran's recent proposal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz and end hostilities while postponing nuclear discussions was rejected by the Trump administration, which maintains a naval blockade to enforce sanctions until a comprehensive deal materializes. IAEA reports confirm Iran's continued stockpile of near-weapons-grade uranium at 60% purity, with limited inspector access, underscoring verification challenges amid the compressed timeline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
ভলিউম
$86,496শেষ তারিখ
May 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Apr 28, 2026, 10:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US-Iran nuclear negotiations remain deadlocked over uranium enrichment limits, driving trader consensus to an 86.5% implied probability against Iran publicly agreeing to end all enrichment by May 31. Mid-April talks in Islamabad collapsed after the US demanded a 20-year moratorium, which Iran countered with only five years, highlighting irreconcilable positions on Tehran's nuclear rights. Iran's recent proposal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz and end hostilities while postponing nuclear discussions was rejected by the Trump administration, which maintains a naval blockade to enforce sanctions until a comprehensive deal materializes. IAEA reports confirm Iran's continued stockpile of near-weapons-grade uranium at 60% purity, with limited inspector access, underscoring verification challenges amid the compressed timeline.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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