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icon for 2026年世界盃足球賽冠軍

2026年世界盃足球賽冠軍

icon for 2026年世界盃足球賽冠軍

2026年世界盃足球賽冠軍

法國 16.8%

西班牙 15.3%

英格蘭 11.1%

阿根廷 8.6%

Polymarket

$873,461,361 交易量

法國 16.8%

西班牙 15.3%

英格蘭 11.1%

阿根廷 8.6%

Polymarket

$873,461,361 交易量

icon for 法國

法國

$22,759,265 交易量

17%

icon for 西班牙

西班牙

$17,906,880 交易量

15%

icon for 英格蘭

英格蘭

$14,676,884 交易量

11%

icon for 阿根廷

阿根廷

$15,533,332 交易量

9%

icon for 巴西

巴西

$16,234,980 交易量

9%

icon for 葡萄牙

葡萄牙

$16,857,337 交易量

7%

icon for 德國

德國

$14,350,149 交易量

5%

icon for 荷蘭

荷蘭

$16,234,182 交易量

3%

icon for 挪威

挪威

$14,567,966 交易量

2%

icon for 日本

日本

$18,017,270 交易量

2%

icon for 比利時

比利時

$14,842,250 交易量

2%

icon for 摩洛哥

摩洛哥

$17,282,846 交易量

2%

icon for 哥倫比亞

哥倫比亞

$13,604,028 交易量

2%

icon for 美國

美國

$30,243,410 交易量

2%

icon for 烏拉圭

烏拉圭

$15,351,444 交易量

1%

icon for 墨西哥

墨西哥

$16,324,175 交易量

1%

icon for 克羅埃西亞

克羅埃西亞

$15,884,832 交易量

1%

icon for 瑞士

瑞士

$14,208,290 交易量

1%

icon for 厄瓜多

厄瓜多

$18,493,826 交易量

1%

icon for 塞內加爾

塞內加爾

$15,262,662 交易量

1%

icon for 加拿大

加拿大

$20,468,515 交易量

1%

icon for 土耳其

土耳其

$8,036,099 交易量

1%

icon for 奧地利

奧地利

$15,906,382 交易量

1%

icon for 瑞典

瑞典

$6,979,417 交易量

1%

icon for 南韓

南韓

$20,722,661 交易量

<1%

icon for 巴拉圭

巴拉圭

$17,439,782 交易量

<1%

icon for 象牙海岸

象牙海岸

$19,125,683 交易量

<1%

icon for 埃及

埃及

$21,157,347 交易量

<1%

icon for 阿爾及利亞

阿爾及利亞

$19,508,049 交易量

<1%

icon for 波斯尼亞與赫塞哥維納

波斯尼亞與赫塞哥維納

$8,902,457 交易量

<1%

icon for 蘇格蘭

蘇格蘭

$16,748,559 交易量

<1%

icon for 突尼西亞

突尼西亞

$19,732,073 交易量

<1%

icon for 捷克

捷克

$7,406,774 交易量

<1%

icon for 紐西蘭

紐西蘭

$26,848,990 交易量

<1%

icon for 約旦

約旦

$23,645,886 交易量

<1%

icon for 庫拉索

庫拉索

$33,552,347 交易量

<1%

icon for 加納

加納

$16,103,219 交易量

<1%

icon for 烏茲別克

烏茲別克

$36,554,830 交易量

<1%

icon for 巴拿馬

巴拿馬

$10,741,114 交易量

<1%

icon for 伊拉克

伊拉克

$10,777,271 交易量

<1%

icon for 南非

南非

$24,789,992 交易量

<1%

icon for 剛果民主共和國

剛果民主共和國

$14,219,548 交易量

<1%

icon for 佛得角

佛得角

$20,478,529 交易量

<1%

icon for 卡達

卡達

$22,024,547 交易量

<1%

icon for 澳洲

澳洲

$20,735,837 交易量

<1%

icon for 沙烏地阿拉伯

沙烏地阿拉伯

$24,891,287 交易量

<1%

icon for 海地

海地

$16,268,672 交易量

<1%

icon for 伊朗

伊朗

$22,150,865 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.France holds a slim edge in trader consensus at 17% implied probability to win the 2026 FIFA World Cup, surging past Spain (15%) following Lamine Yamal's season-ending injury that clouds La Roja's attacking depth despite their Euro 2024 triumph and Nations League form. The tightly bunched top outcomes reflect a balanced field of elite contenders—England's historically deep squad, defending champions Argentina with Lionel Messi at 39 still contributing, and Brazil's continental boost via Vinícius Júnior—amid a wave of key absences like Rodrygo's ACL tear and Jack Grealish's stress fracture. The expanded 48-team format's novel group stage and knockout paths amplify upset risks, with all qualifiers complete since early April and pre-tournament fitness the pivotal uncertainty.

This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$873,461,361
結束日期
2026-07-20
市場開放時間
Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.France holds a slim edge in trader consensus at 17% implied probability to win the 2026 FIFA World Cup, surging past Spain (15%) following Lamine Yamal's season-ending injury that clouds La Roja's attacking depth despite their Euro 2024 triumph and Nations League form. The tightly bunched top outcomes reflect a balanced field of elite contenders—England's historically deep squad, defending champions Argentina with Lionel Messi at 39 still contributing, and Brazil's continental boost via Vinícius Júnior—amid a wave of key absences like Rodrygo's ACL tear and Jack Grealish's stress fracture. The expanded 48-team format's novel group stage and knockout paths amplify upset risks, with all qualifiers complete since early April and pre-tournament fitness the pivotal uncertainty.

This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$873,461,361
結束日期
2026-07-20
市場開放時間
Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"2026年世界盃足球賽冠軍 " is a prediction market on Polymarket with 50+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "法國" at 17%, followed by "西班牙" at 15%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 17¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 17% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2026年世界盃足球賽冠軍 " has generated $873.5 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 2, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2026年世界盃足球賽冠軍 ," browse the 50+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2026年世界盃足球賽冠軍 " is "法國" at 17%, meaning the market assigns a 17% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "西班牙" at 15%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2026年世界盃足球賽冠軍 " define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.