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Bầu Cử·Cuộc Bầu Cử Toàn Cầu

Người chiến thắng trong cuộc bầu cử Hội đồng Lập pháp Tây Bengal

icon for Người chiến thắng trong cuộc bầu cử Hội đồng Lập pháp Tây Bengal
Bầu Cử·Cuộc Bầu Cử Toàn Cầu

Người chiến thắng trong cuộc bầu cử Hội đồng Lập pháp Tây Bengal

AITC 51.8%

BJP 47.9%

CPI <1%

CPI(M) <1%

Polymarket

$5,188,976 KL.

AITC 51.8%

BJP 47.9%

CPI <1%

CPI(M) <1%

Polymarket

$5,188,976 KL.

icon for AITC

AITC

$2,053,002 KL.

52%

icon for BJP

BJP

$1,273,140 KL.

48%

icon for CPI

CPI

$827,317 KL.

<1%

icon for CPI(M)

CPI(M)

$62,000 KL.

<1%

icon for INC

INC

$131,220 KL.

<1%

icon for BGPM

BGPM

$842,350 KL.

<1%

Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in West Bengal, India, in March–April 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next West Bengal Legislative Assembly election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the West Bengal Parliament. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituents (AC).With voting concluded in West Bengal's two-phase Legislative Assembly election on April 29 amid record 92.9% turnout, mixed exit polls—ranging from BJP majorities in Today's Chanakya projections to AITC leads in POLIQ and others—have fueled a razor-thin trader consensus favoring incumbent AITC at 51.8% over BJP at 47.9%. AITC holds advantages in rural strongholds through popular welfare schemes like Lakshmir Bhandar targeting women voters and enduring regional loyalty under Mamata Banerjee, while BJP draws strength from anti-incumbency on governance and violence allegations, central funds, and northern district gains since 2021's 77 seats. Official counting on May 4, postal ballots, and repolling in 15 booths could decisively tip the balance in this bipolar contest.

Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in West Bengal, India, in March–April 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next West Bengal Legislative Assembly election.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the West Bengal Parliament.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituents (AC).
Khối lượng
$5,188,976
Ngày kết thúc
Apr 29, 2026
Thị trường mở
Dec 23, 2025, 3:13 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in West Bengal, India, in March–April 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next West Bengal Legislative Assembly election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the West Bengal Parliament. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituents (AC).
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in West Bengal, India, in March–April 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next West Bengal Legislative Assembly election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the West Bengal Parliament. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituents (AC).With voting concluded in West Bengal's two-phase Legislative Assembly election on April 29 amid record 92.9% turnout, mixed exit polls—ranging from BJP majorities in Today's Chanakya projections to AITC leads in POLIQ and others—have fueled a razor-thin trader consensus favoring incumbent AITC at 51.8% over BJP at 47.9%. AITC holds advantages in rural strongholds through popular welfare schemes like Lakshmir Bhandar targeting women voters and enduring regional loyalty under Mamata Banerjee, while BJP draws strength from anti-incumbency on governance and violence allegations, central funds, and northern district gains since 2021's 77 seats. Official counting on May 4, postal ballots, and repolling in 15 booths could decisively tip the balance in this bipolar contest.

Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in West Bengal, India, in March–April 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next West Bengal Legislative Assembly election.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the West Bengal Parliament.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituents (AC).
Khối lượng
$5,188,976
Ngày kết thúc
Apr 29, 2026
Thị trường mở
Dec 23, 2025, 3:13 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in West Bengal, India, in March–April 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next West Bengal Legislative Assembly election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the West Bengal Parliament. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituents (AC).

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Câu hỏi thường gặp

"Người chiến thắng trong cuộc bầu cử Hội đồng Lập pháp Tây Bengal" là thị trường dự đoán trên Polymarket với 6 kết quả có thể nơi các nhà giao dịch mua và bán cổ phần dựa trên điều họ tin sẽ xảy ra. Kết quả dẫn đầu hiện tại là "AITC" ở mức 52%, tiếp theo là "BJP" ở mức 48%. Giá phản ánh xác suất cộng đồng theo thời gian thực. Ví dụ, cổ phần ở giá 52¢ ngụ ý thị trường tập thể cho rằng có 52% khả năng cho kết quả đó. Tỷ lệ này thay đổi liên tục khi trader phản ứng với diễn biến và thông tin mới. Cổ phần đúng kết quả có thể đổi lấy $1 mỗi cổ phần khi thị trường được giải quyết.

Tính đến hôm nay, "Người chiến thắng trong cuộc bầu cử Hội đồng Lập pháp Tây Bengal" đã tạo $5.2 million tổng khối lượng giao dịch kể từ khi thị trường mở vào Dec 23, 2025. Mức hoạt động giao dịch này phản ánh sự tham gia mạnh mẽ từ cộng đồng Polymarket và giúp đảm bảo tỷ lệ hiện tại được thông tin bởi nhóm người tham gia thị trường sâu rộng. Bạn có thể theo dõi biến động giá trực tiếp và giao dịch trên bất kỳ kết quả nào ngay trên trang này.

Để giao dịch trên "Người chiến thắng trong cuộc bầu cử Hội đồng Lập pháp Tây Bengal," duyệt 6 kết quả có sẵn trên trang này. Mỗi kết quả hiển thị giá hiện tại đại diện cho xác suất ngụ ý của thị trường. Để mở vị thế, chọn kết quả bạn tin là có khả năng nhất, chọn "Có" để giao dịch ủng hộ hoặc "Không" để giao dịch chống, nhập số tiền và nhấn "Giao dịch." Nếu kết quả bạn chọn đúng khi thị trường giải quyết, cổ phần "Có" của bạn trả $1 mỗi cổ phần. Nếu sai, chúng trả $0. Bạn cũng có thể bán cổ phần bất cứ lúc nào trước khi giải quyết nếu muốn chốt lời hoặc cắt lỗ.

Ứng viên dẫn đầu hiện tại cho "Người chiến thắng trong cuộc bầu cử Hội đồng Lập pháp Tây Bengal" là "AITC" ở mức 52%, nghĩa là thị trường cho 52% khả năng cho kết quả đó. Kết quả gần nhất tiếp theo là "BJP" ở mức 48%. Tỷ lệ cập nhật theo thời gian thực khi trader mua và bán cổ phần, phản ánh cái nhìn tập thể mới nhất về điều có khả năng xảy ra nhất. Kiểm tra thường xuyên hoặc đánh dấu trang này để theo dõi tỷ lệ thay đổi khi thông tin mới xuất hiện.

Quy tắc giải quyết cho "Người chiến thắng trong cuộc bầu cử Hội đồng Lập pháp Tây Bengal" định nghĩa chính xác điều gì cần xảy ra để mỗi kết quả được tuyên bố thắng — bao gồm nguồn dữ liệu chính thức được sử dụng để xác định kết quả. Bạn có thể xem tiêu chí giải quyết đầy đủ trong phần "Quy tắc" trên trang này phía trên bình luận. Chúng tôi khuyên đọc kỹ quy tắc trước khi giao dịch, vì chúng chỉ rõ điều kiện, trường hợp ngoại lệ và nguồn chính xác quản lý cách thị trường được thanh toán.