US-brokered direct talks between Israeli and Lebanese envoys in Washington on April 14 marked the first diplomatic contact in decades, leading to a 10-day ceasefire extension through mid-May amid fragile de-escalation efforts along the Israel-Lebanon border. Trader consensus at 50.5% Yes reflects competitive balance: momentum from these negotiations and reports of a potential mid-May summit between Prime Minister Netanyahu and President Aoun bolster prospects, but Hezbollah's rejection of talks, ongoing drone strikes, and airstrikes signal persistent risks of escalation. Confirmation of higher-level bilateral summit or full ceasefire adherence could tip odds toward Yes, while renewed hostilities or failed confidence-building measures would favor No before May 31 resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоIsrael x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?
НОВЕ
$12,073 Обс.
НОВЕ
$12,073 Обс.
May 31, 2026
НОВЕ
$12,073 Обс.
НОВЕ
$12,073 Обс.
May 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Lebanon by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.US-brokered direct talks between Israeli and Lebanese envoys in Washington on April 14 marked the first diplomatic contact in decades, leading to a 10-day ceasefire extension through mid-May amid fragile de-escalation efforts along the Israel-Lebanon border. Trader consensus at 50.5% Yes reflects competitive balance: momentum from these negotiations and reports of a potential mid-May summit between Prime Minister Netanyahu and President Aoun bolster prospects, but Hezbollah's rejection of talks, ongoing drone strikes, and airstrikes signal persistent risks of escalation. Confirmation of higher-level bilateral summit or full ceasefire adherence could tip odds toward Yes, while renewed hostilities or failed confidence-building measures would favor No before May 31 resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Lebanon by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Ринок відкрито: Apr 29, 2026, 5:00 PM ET
Обсяг
$12,073Дата завершення
May 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 29, 2026, 5:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Lebanon by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.US-brokered direct talks between Israeli and Lebanese envoys in Washington on April 14 marked the first diplomatic contact in decades, leading to a 10-day ceasefire extension through mid-May amid fragile de-escalation efforts along the Israel-Lebanon border. Trader consensus at 50.5% Yes reflects competitive balance: momentum from these negotiations and reports of a potential mid-May summit between Prime Minister Netanyahu and President Aoun bolster prospects, but Hezbollah's rejection of talks, ongoing drone strikes, and airstrikes signal persistent risks of escalation. Confirmation of higher-level bilateral summit or full ceasefire adherence could tip odds toward Yes, while renewed hostilities or failed confidence-building measures would favor No before May 31 resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Lebanon by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Обсяг
$12,290Дата завершення
May 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 29, 2026, 5:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US-brokered direct talks between Israeli and Lebanese envoys in Washington on April 14 marked the first diplomatic contact in decades, leading to a 10-day ceasefire extension through mid-May amid fragile de-escalation efforts along the Israel-Lebanon border. Trader consensus at 50.5% Yes reflects competitive balance: momentum from these negotiations and reports of a potential mid-May summit between Prime Minister Netanyahu and President Aoun bolster prospects, but Hezbollah's rejection of talks, ongoing drone strikes, and airstrikes signal persistent risks of escalation. Confirmation of higher-level bilateral summit or full ceasefire adherence could tip odds toward Yes, while renewed hostilities or failed confidence-building measures would favor No before May 31 resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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