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TrâNsito previsões e probabilidades

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Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?

6%

$4M Vol.

$879K today

$365K Liq.

Ends em 13 dias

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

<1%

$35M Vol.

$649K today

$376K Liq.

3

Ends há 2 dias

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

22%

$5M Vol.

$446K today

$230K Liq.

Ends em 29 dias

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

46%

$1M Vol.

$230K today

$160K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of Apr 27?

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of Apr 27?

69%

25-49

$58.3K Vol.

$43.0K Liq.

Ends em 1 dia

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by end of April?

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by end of April?

<1%

80+

$1M Vol.

$30.2K Liq.

Ends há 2 dias

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?

60%

20+

$17.7K Vol.

$27.7K Liq.

Ends em 29 dias

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of May 4?

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of May 4?

47%

25-49

$1.3K Vol.

$94.6K Liq.

Ends em 8 dias

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

14%

May 31

$2M Vol.

$54.1K Liq.

85

Ends há 2 dias

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?

16%

$58.3K Vol.

$62.3K Liq.

Ends em 29 dias

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of April?

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of April?

98%

0-10

$220K Vol.

$41.5K Liq.

Ends há 2 dias

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of May?

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of May?

56%

0-10

$662 Vol.

$83.7K Liq.

Ends em 29 dias

Any of the stolen KitKats recovered by...?

Any of the stolen KitKats recovered by...?

7%

April 30

$4.7K Vol.

$717 Liq.

3

Ends há 2 dias

What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by May 31?

What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by May 31?

20%

Oil Sanction Relief

$38.3K Vol.

$133K Liq.

Ends em 29 dias

2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?

2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?

2%

$137K Vol.

$3.5K Liq.

6

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

Iran closes its airspace by...?

Iran closes its airspace by...?

52%

May 31

$6.9K Vol.

$115K Liq.

3

Ends em 29 dias

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

9%

$1M Vol.

$68.9K Liq.

37

Ends em 8 meses

Cuban regime falls in 2026?

Cuban regime falls in 2026?

22%

$185K Vol.

$23.3K Liq.

8

Ends em 8 meses

Another Canadian MP crosses the floor by...?

Another Canadian MP crosses the floor by...?

38%

May 15

$287 Vol.

$58 Liq.

1

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

Will the Missouri abortion & sex change for minors ban pass?

Will the Missouri abortion & sex change for minors ban pass?

11%

$562 Vol.

$826 Liq.

Ends em 6 meses

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like TrâNsito.

Polymarket currently hosts 129 active markets for TrâNsito that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $51.0M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 100% chance to No. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on TrâNsito predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.