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icon for Vencedor do Eurovisão 2026

Vencedor do Eurovisão 2026

icon for Vencedor do Eurovisão 2026

Vencedor do Eurovisão 2026

Finlândia 34.4%

Grécia 17.3%

Dinamarca 12.7%

França 8.1%

Polymarket

$121,928,612 Vol.

Finlândia 34.4%

Grécia 17.3%

Dinamarca 12.7%

França 8.1%

Polymarket

$121,928,612 Vol.

icon for Finlândia

Finlândia

$3,652,294 Vol.

34%

icon for Grécia

Grécia

$2,270,144 Vol.

17%

icon for Dinamarca

Dinamarca

$1,870,920 Vol.

13%

icon for França

França

$2,434,680 Vol.

8%

icon for Austrália

Austrália

$2,012,028 Vol.

7%

icon for Israel

Israel

$2,131,378 Vol.

4%

icon for Itália

Itália

$2,827,845 Vol.

3%

icon for Suécia

Suécia

$1,681,447 Vol.

3%

icon for Romênia

Romênia

$1,967,661 Vol.

3%

icon for Ucrânia

Ucrânia

$1,957,466 Vol.

1%

icon for Malta

Malta

$2,379,608 Vol.

1%

icon for Chéquia

Chéquia

$1,459,526 Vol.

1%

icon for Chipre

Chipre

$1,951,958 Vol.

1%

icon for Bulgária

Bulgária

$2,127,954 Vol.

1%

icon for Croácia

Croácia

$2,742,906 Vol.

1%

icon for Moldávia

Moldávia

$2,768,309 Vol.

1%

icon for Alemanha

Alemanha

$2,591,059 Vol.

<1%

icon for Luxemburgo

Luxemburgo

$2,872,826 Vol.

<1%

icon for Noruega

Noruega

$3,566,433 Vol.

<1%

icon for Bélgica

Bélgica

$3,210,334 Vol.

<1%

icon for Lituânia

Lituânia

$3,970,231 Vol.

<1%

icon for Sérvia

Sérvia

$3,918,585 Vol.

<1%

icon for Suíça

Suíça

$4,607,442 Vol.

<1%

icon for Reino Unido

Reino Unido

$2,621,930 Vol.

<1%

icon for Albânia

Albânia

$5,303,165 Vol.

<1%

icon for Áustria

Áustria

$6,325,349 Vol.

<1%

icon for Estônia

Estônia

$5,485,450 Vol.

<1%

icon for Portugal

Portugal

$4,618,325 Vol.

<1%

icon for Armênia

Armênia

$5,387,604 Vol.

<1%

icon for Azerbaijão

Azerbaijão

$5,337,933 Vol.

<1%

icon for Geórgia

Geórgia

$5,514,139 Vol.

<1%

icon for Polônia

Polônia

$4,805,706 Vol.

<1%

icon for Letônia

Letônia

$4,663,945 Vol.

<1%

icon for San Marino

San Marino

$5,415,074 Vol.

<1%

icon for Montenegro

Montenegro

$5,478,957 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen top Polymarket trader consensus at 34.4% implied probability for Eurovision 2026 victory with their UMK-winning entry "Liekinheitin," a striking classical violin-pop fusion that has dominated early OGAE fan votes, pre-party buzz, and betting odds since its February reveal, appealing to both juries and televoters. Greece's Akylas follows at 17.4% on the high-energy techno anthem "Ferto," bolstered by its "Sing for Greece" triumph and recent "Super Ferto" remix unveiling, positioning it as a televote powerhouse. Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund holds 12.7% with the emotive "Før vi går hjem," climbing post-Melodi Grand Prix despite mixed pre-party feedback. France lingers as a jury dark horse at 8.2%, but the wide-open field across 37 nations awaits first rehearsals kicking off today in Vienna, where staging and live performances could spark momentum shifts ahead of May semifinals.

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$121,928,612
Data de Término
16 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen top Polymarket trader consensus at 34.4% implied probability for Eurovision 2026 victory with their UMK-winning entry "Liekinheitin," a striking classical violin-pop fusion that has dominated early OGAE fan votes, pre-party buzz, and betting odds since its February reveal, appealing to both juries and televoters. Greece's Akylas follows at 17.4% on the high-energy techno anthem "Ferto," bolstered by its "Sing for Greece" triumph and recent "Super Ferto" remix unveiling, positioning it as a televote powerhouse. Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund holds 12.7% with the emotive "Før vi går hjem," climbing post-Melodi Grand Prix despite mixed pre-party feedback. France lingers as a jury dark horse at 8.2%, but the wide-open field across 37 nations awaits first rehearsals kicking off today in Vienna, where staging and live performances could spark momentum shifts ahead of May semifinals.

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$121,928,612
Data de Término
16 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor do Eurovisão 2026" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 35 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Finlândia" at 34%, followed by "Grécia" at 17%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 34¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 34% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor do Eurovisão 2026" has generated $121.9 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 6, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor do Eurovisão 2026," browse the 35 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor do Eurovisão 2026" is "Finlândia" at 34%, meaning the market assigns a 34% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Grécia" at 17%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor do Eurovisão 2026" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.