The U.S. has maintained a voluntary moratorium on nuclear explosive testing since its last underground detonation in 1992 at the Nevada National Security Site, adhering informally to the unratified Comprehensive Nuclear-Test-Ban Treaty amid stockpile stewardship via subcritical experiments overseen by the National Nuclear Security Administration. Recent trader sentiment reflects President Trump's October 2025 directive to prepare for resumption on an "equal basis" with adversaries, fueled by U.S. intelligence claims of covert Chinese and Russian low-yield tests, prompting NNSA's FY2026 budget surge for test readiness infrastructure. No explosive test has occurred, but March 2026 reports indicated preparations, while the CTBTO executive secretary warned on April 29 against escalation spirals. Congressional funding votes and diplomatic responses could sway outcomes before any resolution deadline.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoAmerykańska próba jądrowa przeprowadzona przez...?
Amerykańska próba jądrowa przeprowadzona przez...?
$655,750 Wol.
Jun 30, 2026
30 czerwca 2026
3%
30 września 2026
8%
31 grudnia 2026
11%
$655,750 Wol.
30 czerwca 2026
$32,248 Wol.
3%
30 września 2026
$3,921 Wol.
8%
31 grudnia 2026
$9,362 Wol.
11%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US conducts a nuclear test by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by the US that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield.
Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this market's resolution.
Tests not explicitly claimed by US may still qualify if a clear consensus of credible reporting attributes the nuclear detonation to US. For example, an unclaimed nuclear test analogous to the 1979 "Vela Incident" would count if credible reporting attributes it to the US.
The resolution source for this market will be a broad consensus of credible reporting.The U.S. has maintained a voluntary moratorium on nuclear explosive testing since its last underground detonation in 1992 at the Nevada National Security Site, adhering informally to the unratified Comprehensive Nuclear-Test-Ban Treaty amid stockpile stewardship via subcritical experiments overseen by the National Nuclear Security Administration. Recent trader sentiment reflects President Trump's October 2025 directive to prepare for resumption on an "equal basis" with adversaries, fueled by U.S. intelligence claims of covert Chinese and Russian low-yield tests, prompting NNSA's FY2026 budget surge for test readiness infrastructure. No explosive test has occurred, but March 2026 reports indicated preparations, while the CTBTO executive secretary warned on April 29 against escalation spirals. Congressional funding votes and diplomatic responses could sway outcomes before any resolution deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US conducts a nuclear test by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by the US that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield.
Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this market's resolution.
Tests not explicitly claimed by US may still qualify if a clear consensus of credible reporting attributes the nuclear detonation to US. For example, an unclaimed nuclear test analogous to the 1979 "Vela Incident" would count if credible reporting attributes it to the US.
The resolution source for this market will be a broad consensus of credible reporting.
A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by the US that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield.
Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this market's resolution.
Tests not explicitly claimed by US may still qualify if a clear consensus of credible reporting attributes the nuclear detonation to US. For example, an unclaimed nuclear test analogous to the 1979 "Vela Incident" would count if credible reporting attributes it to the US.
The resolution source for this market will be a broad consensus of credible reporting.
Rynek otwarty: Mar 31, 2026, 3:32 PM ET
Wolumen
$655,750Data zakończenia
Mar 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Mar 31, 2026, 3:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US conducts a nuclear test by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by the US that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield.
Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this market's resolution.
Tests not explicitly claimed by US may still qualify if a clear consensus of credible reporting attributes the nuclear detonation to US. For example, an unclaimed nuclear test analogous to the 1979 "Vela Incident" would count if credible reporting attributes it to the US.
The resolution source for this market will be a broad consensus of credible reporting.The U.S. has maintained a voluntary moratorium on nuclear explosive testing since its last underground detonation in 1992 at the Nevada National Security Site, adhering informally to the unratified Comprehensive Nuclear-Test-Ban Treaty amid stockpile stewardship via subcritical experiments overseen by the National Nuclear Security Administration. Recent trader sentiment reflects President Trump's October 2025 directive to prepare for resumption on an "equal basis" with adversaries, fueled by U.S. intelligence claims of covert Chinese and Russian low-yield tests, prompting NNSA's FY2026 budget surge for test readiness infrastructure. No explosive test has occurred, but March 2026 reports indicated preparations, while the CTBTO executive secretary warned on April 29 against escalation spirals. Congressional funding votes and diplomatic responses could sway outcomes before any resolution deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US conducts a nuclear test by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by the US that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield.
Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this market's resolution.
Tests not explicitly claimed by US may still qualify if a clear consensus of credible reporting attributes the nuclear detonation to US. For example, an unclaimed nuclear test analogous to the 1979 "Vela Incident" would count if credible reporting attributes it to the US.
The resolution source for this market will be a broad consensus of credible reporting.
A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by the US that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield.
Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this market's resolution.
Tests not explicitly claimed by US may still qualify if a clear consensus of credible reporting attributes the nuclear detonation to US. For example, an unclaimed nuclear test analogous to the 1979 "Vela Incident" would count if credible reporting attributes it to the US.
The resolution source for this market will be a broad consensus of credible reporting.
Wolumen
$655,750Data zakończenia
Mar 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Mar 31, 2026, 3:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The U.S. has maintained a voluntary moratorium on nuclear explosive testing since its last underground detonation in 1992 at the Nevada National Security Site, adhering informally to the unratified Comprehensive Nuclear-Test-Ban Treaty amid stockpile stewardship via subcritical experiments overseen by the National Nuclear Security Administration. Recent trader sentiment reflects President Trump's October 2025 directive to prepare for resumption on an "equal basis" with adversaries, fueled by U.S. intelligence claims of covert Chinese and Russian low-yield tests, prompting NNSA's FY2026 budget surge for test readiness infrastructure. No explosive test has occurred, but March 2026 reports indicated preparations, while the CTBTO executive secretary warned on April 29 against escalation spirals. Congressional funding votes and diplomatic responses could sway outcomes before any resolution deadline.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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