In the protracted Russia-Ukraine international showdown, Russia's spring offensive has collapsed amid Ukrainian defensive resilience, with ISW data showing minimal territorial gains and frontline stalemates persisting into late April 2026. Tactical ceasefire bids, like Putin's May 9 Victory Day proposal to Trump, signal no structural concessions, as maximalist positions endure in U.S.-brokered talks. Absent key "injuries" to leadership or momentum shifts, trader consensus prices "No" on the peace parlay at 88%, reflecting the wisdom of crowds in a matchup defined by attrition, stalled negotiations, and ongoing strikes rather than knockout resolution or series-clinching compromise.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoTak
$426,046 Wol.
$426,046 Wol.
Tak
$426,046 Wol.
$426,046 Wol.
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Russia+x+Ukraine+2026+Peace+Parlay.pdf
Rynek otwarty: Nov 24, 2025, 12:22 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Russia+x+Ukraine+2026+Peace+Parlay.pdf
Resolver
0x65070BE91...In the protracted Russia-Ukraine international showdown, Russia's spring offensive has collapsed amid Ukrainian defensive resilience, with ISW data showing minimal territorial gains and frontline stalemates persisting into late April 2026. Tactical ceasefire bids, like Putin's May 9 Victory Day proposal to Trump, signal no structural concessions, as maximalist positions endure in U.S.-brokered talks. Absent key "injuries" to leadership or momentum shifts, trader consensus prices "No" on the peace parlay at 88%, reflecting the wisdom of crowds in a matchup defined by attrition, stalled negotiations, and ongoing strikes rather than knockout resolution or series-clinching compromise.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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