US-brokered direct talks between Israeli and Lebanese ambassadors on April 14 marked the first in-person diplomatic engagement since 1993, focusing on ceasefire implementation, Hezbollah disarmament, and northern border security, establishing momentum that drives trader consensus to 58% for another qualifying meeting by May 31. A ten-day cessation of hostilities from April 16 was extended three weeks after White House discussions on April 23, amid President Trump's mediation, with US Embassy statements in Beirut urging a potential Netanyahu-Aoun summit mid-May. However, Hezbollah's rejection, sporadic Israeli strikes, and cross-border incidents underscore fragility, tempering odds below certainty despite the precedent of publicly reported official negotiations.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoIsrael x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?
NOWE
NOWE
May 31, 2026
NOWE
NOWE
May 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Lebanon by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.US-brokered direct talks between Israeli and Lebanese ambassadors on April 14 marked the first in-person diplomatic engagement since 1993, focusing on ceasefire implementation, Hezbollah disarmament, and northern border security, establishing momentum that drives trader consensus to 58% for another qualifying meeting by May 31. A ten-day cessation of hostilities from April 16 was extended three weeks after White House discussions on April 23, amid President Trump's mediation, with US Embassy statements in Beirut urging a potential Netanyahu-Aoun summit mid-May. However, Hezbollah's rejection, sporadic Israeli strikes, and cross-border incidents underscore fragility, tempering odds below certainty despite the precedent of publicly reported official negotiations.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Lebanon by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 29, 2026, 5:00 PM ET
Wolumen
$8,845Data zakończenia
May 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 29, 2026, 5:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Lebanon by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.US-brokered direct talks between Israeli and Lebanese ambassadors on April 14 marked the first in-person diplomatic engagement since 1993, focusing on ceasefire implementation, Hezbollah disarmament, and northern border security, establishing momentum that drives trader consensus to 58% for another qualifying meeting by May 31. A ten-day cessation of hostilities from April 16 was extended three weeks after White House discussions on April 23, amid President Trump's mediation, with US Embassy statements in Beirut urging a potential Netanyahu-Aoun summit mid-May. However, Hezbollah's rejection, sporadic Israeli strikes, and cross-border incidents underscore fragility, tempering odds below certainty despite the precedent of publicly reported official negotiations.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Lebanon by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Wolumen
$8,845Data zakończenia
May 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 29, 2026, 5:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US-brokered direct talks between Israeli and Lebanese ambassadors on April 14 marked the first in-person diplomatic engagement since 1993, focusing on ceasefire implementation, Hezbollah disarmament, and northern border security, establishing momentum that drives trader consensus to 58% for another qualifying meeting by May 31. A ten-day cessation of hostilities from April 16 was extended three weeks after White House discussions on April 23, amid President Trump's mediation, with US Embassy statements in Beirut urging a potential Netanyahu-Aoun summit mid-May. However, Hezbollah's rejection, sporadic Israeli strikes, and cross-border incidents underscore fragility, tempering odds below certainty despite the precedent of publicly reported official negotiations.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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