Despite a historic US-brokered direct diplomatic meeting between Israeli and Lebanese ambassadors in Washington on April 14—yielding a 10-day ceasefire extended to mid-May—trader consensus prices "No" at 56.5%, reflecting the truce's fragility amid mutual violations. As of May 1, Israeli strikes killed 17 in southern Lebanon, with IDF chiefs declaring no effective ceasefire due to Hezbollah drone attacks and threats, eroding de-escalation momentum. The US Embassy urged a Netanyahu-Aoun summit facilitated by President Trump for border security and sovereignty guarantees, but Hezbollah's rejection of disarmament demands, coupled with conditional planning and Saudi cautions against haste, heighten uncertainties for further in-person negotiations by May 31.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?
신규
신규
2026.05.31
신규
신규
2026.05.31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Lebanon by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.Despite a historic US-brokered direct diplomatic meeting between Israeli and Lebanese ambassadors in Washington on April 14—yielding a 10-day ceasefire extended to mid-May—trader consensus prices "No" at 56.5%, reflecting the truce's fragility amid mutual violations. As of May 1, Israeli strikes killed 17 in southern Lebanon, with IDF chiefs declaring no effective ceasefire due to Hezbollah drone attacks and threats, eroding de-escalation momentum. The US Embassy urged a Netanyahu-Aoun summit facilitated by President Trump for border security and sovereignty guarantees, but Hezbollah's rejection of disarmament demands, coupled with conditional planning and Saudi cautions against haste, heighten uncertainties for further in-person negotiations by May 31.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Lebanon by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.
마켓 개설일: Apr 29, 2026, 5:00 PM ET
거래량
$5,470종료일
2026.05.31마켓 개설일
Apr 29, 2026, 5:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Lebanon by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.Despite a historic US-brokered direct diplomatic meeting between Israeli and Lebanese ambassadors in Washington on April 14—yielding a 10-day ceasefire extended to mid-May—trader consensus prices "No" at 56.5%, reflecting the truce's fragility amid mutual violations. As of May 1, Israeli strikes killed 17 in southern Lebanon, with IDF chiefs declaring no effective ceasefire due to Hezbollah drone attacks and threats, eroding de-escalation momentum. The US Embassy urged a Netanyahu-Aoun summit facilitated by President Trump for border security and sovereignty guarantees, but Hezbollah's rejection of disarmament demands, coupled with conditional planning and Saudi cautions against haste, heighten uncertainties for further in-person negotiations by May 31.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Lebanon by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.
거래량
$5,549종료일
2026.05.31마켓 개설일
Apr 29, 2026, 5:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Despite a historic US-brokered direct diplomatic meeting between Israeli and Lebanese ambassadors in Washington on April 14—yielding a 10-day ceasefire extended to mid-May—trader consensus prices "No" at 56.5%, reflecting the truce's fragility amid mutual violations. As of May 1, Israeli strikes killed 17 in southern Lebanon, with IDF chiefs declaring no effective ceasefire due to Hezbollah drone attacks and threats, eroding de-escalation momentum. The US Embassy urged a Netanyahu-Aoun summit facilitated by President Trump for border security and sovereignty guarantees, but Hezbollah's rejection of disarmament demands, coupled with conditional planning and Saudi cautions against haste, heighten uncertainties for further in-person negotiations by May 31.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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