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3rd largest company end of May?

icon for 3rd largest company end of May?

3rd largest company end of May?

May 31

May 31

Apple 90%

Alphabet 7%

Microsoft 2.2%

NVIDIA 1.3%

Polymarket

$13,572 Vol.

Apple 90%

Alphabet 7%

Microsoft 2.2%

NVIDIA 1.3%

Polymarket

$13,572 Vol.

icon for Apple

Apple

$6,105 Vol.

90%

icon for Alphabet

Alphabet

$3,078 Vol.

7%

icon for Microsoft

Microsoft

$520 Vol.

2%

icon for NVIDIA

NVIDIA

$684 Vol.

1%

icon for Amazon

Amazon

$807 Vol.

<1%

icon for Saudi Aramco

Saudi Aramco

$697 Vol.

<1%

icon for Broadcom

Broadcom

$916 Vol.

<1%

icon for Tesla

Tesla

$766 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 89.5% implied probability to Apple securing third-largest status by market capitalization at May 31, 2026, anchored by its current $4.116 trillion valuation—a $1.035 trillion buffer over Microsoft's $3.081 trillion in fourth place. NVIDIA ($4.822 trillion) and Alphabet ($4.592 trillion) hold firm in the top two amid sustained AI demand and recent daily gains, with Apple's +3.33% share price surge further solidifying its position. Alphabet's 7% odds reflect tail risks from sector rotation or earnings volatility, while Microsoft's 2.1% hinges on aggressive multiple expansion. Key watchpoints include post-Q1 earnings revisions and May economic data influencing tech valuations, though wide gaps suggest limited near-term displacement.

This market will resolve to the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31, 2026, as of market close.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$13,572
End Date
May 31, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 17, 2026, 3:57 PM ET
This market will resolve to the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 89.5% implied probability to Apple securing third-largest status by market capitalization at May 31, 2026, anchored by its current $4.116 trillion valuation—a $1.035 trillion buffer over Microsoft's $3.081 trillion in fourth place. NVIDIA ($4.822 trillion) and Alphabet ($4.592 trillion) hold firm in the top two amid sustained AI demand and recent daily gains, with Apple's +3.33% share price surge further solidifying its position. Alphabet's 7% odds reflect tail risks from sector rotation or earnings volatility, while Microsoft's 2.1% hinges on aggressive multiple expansion. Key watchpoints include post-Q1 earnings revisions and May economic data influencing tech valuations, though wide gaps suggest limited near-term displacement.

This market will resolve to the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31, 2026, as of market close.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$13,572
End Date
May 31, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 17, 2026, 3:57 PM ET
This market will resolve to the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"3rd largest company end of May?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Apple" at 90%, followed by "Alphabet" at 7%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 90¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 90% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "3rd largest company end of May?" has generated $13.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 17, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "3rd largest company end of May?," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "3rd largest company end of May?" is "Apple" at 90%, meaning the market assigns a 90% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Alphabet" at 7%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "3rd largest company end of May?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.