First-leg UEFA Champions League semi-final results have traders viewing Bayern Munich, PSG, and Arsenal as near-equals at around 30% implied probabilities each, reflecting razor-thin aggregate margins ahead of decisive second legs on May 5-6. PSG hold a precarious 5-4 lead over Bayern after a high-scoring thriller at Parc des Princes, where both sides' attacking firepower—led by prolific forwards—exposed defensive frailties, while a 1-1 draw at Atlético Madrid leaves Arsenal well-positioned with home advantage at the Emirates. Recent quarter-final triumphs (Bayern ousting Real Madrid 6-4 agg., PSG crushing Liverpool 4-0, Arsenal edging Sporting 1-0, Atlético toppling Barcelona 3-2) underscore each team's knockout pedigree, fueling the tight consensus amid no major injury disruptions.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoBayern de Múnich 32%
PSG 32%
Arsenal 30%
Atlético de Madrid 8.5%
$250,350,073 Vol.
$250,350,073 Vol.
Bayern de Múnich
32%
PSG
32%
Arsenal
30%
Atlético de Madrid
8%
Club Brugge
<1%
Bayern de Múnich 32%
PSG 32%
Arsenal 30%
Atlético de Madrid 8.5%
$250,350,073 Vol.
$250,350,073 Vol.
Bayern de Múnich
32%
PSG
32%
Arsenal
30%
Atlético de Madrid
8%
Club Brugge
<1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is officially crowned the winner of the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to win the tournament (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the market will resolve to "No".
If the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League is canceled or not completed by October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA Champions League (https://www.uefa.com/uefachampionsleague/). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Jul 28, 2025, 11:38 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is officially crowned the winner of the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to win the tournament (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the market will resolve to "No".
If the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League is canceled or not completed by October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA Champions League (https://www.uefa.com/uefachampionsleague/). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...First-leg UEFA Champions League semi-final results have traders viewing Bayern Munich, PSG, and Arsenal as near-equals at around 30% implied probabilities each, reflecting razor-thin aggregate margins ahead of decisive second legs on May 5-6. PSG hold a precarious 5-4 lead over Bayern after a high-scoring thriller at Parc des Princes, where both sides' attacking firepower—led by prolific forwards—exposed defensive frailties, while a 1-1 draw at Atlético Madrid leaves Arsenal well-positioned with home advantage at the Emirates. Recent quarter-final triumphs (Bayern ousting Real Madrid 6-4 agg., PSG crushing Liverpool 4-0, Arsenal edging Sporting 1-0, Atlético toppling Barcelona 3-2) underscore each team's knockout pedigree, fueling the tight consensus amid no major injury disruptions.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes