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icon for Ganador de Eurovisión 2026

Ganador de Eurovisión 2026

icon for Ganador de Eurovisión 2026

Ganador de Eurovisión 2026

Finlandia 34.4%

Grecia 17.4%

Dinamarca 12.7%

Francia 8.0%

Polymarket

$121,945,784 Vol.

Finlandia 34.4%

Grecia 17.4%

Dinamarca 12.7%

Francia 8.0%

Polymarket

$121,945,784 Vol.

icon for Finlandia

Finlandia

$3,652,304 Vol.

34%

icon for Grecia

Grecia

$2,270,404 Vol.

17%

icon for Dinamarca

Dinamarca

$1,870,920 Vol.

13%

icon for Francia

Francia

$2,436,951 Vol.

8%

icon for Australia

Australia

$2,015,555 Vol.

7%

icon for Israel

Israel

$2,131,488 Vol.

4%

icon for Italia

Italia

$2,827,845 Vol.

3%

icon for Suecia

Suecia

$1,681,599 Vol.

3%

icon for Rumanía

Rumanía

$1,967,661 Vol.

3%

icon for Ucrania

Ucrania

$1,957,466 Vol.

1%

icon for Malta

Malta

$2,379,762 Vol.

1%

icon for Chequia

Chequia

$1,459,709 Vol.

1%

icon for Chipre

Chipre

$1,959,227 Vol.

1%

icon for Bulgaria

Bulgaria

$2,128,044 Vol.

1%

icon for Croacia

Croacia

$2,742,910 Vol.

1%

icon for Moldavia

Moldavia

$2,768,309 Vol.

1%

icon for Alemania

Alemania

$2,591,702 Vol.

<1%

icon for Luxemburgo

Luxemburgo

$2,873,283 Vol.

<1%

icon for Noruega

Noruega

$3,567,212 Vol.

<1%

icon for Bélgica

Bélgica

$3,210,807 Vol.

<1%

icon for Lituania

Lituania

$3,970,563 Vol.

<1%

icon for Serbia

Serbia

$3,919,064 Vol.

<1%

icon for Suiza

Suiza

$4,608,414 Vol.

<1%

icon for Reino Unido

Reino Unido

$2,622,670 Vol.

<1%

icon for Albania

Albania

$5,303,762 Vol.

<1%

icon for Austria

Austria

$6,325,697 Vol.

<1%

icon for Estonia

Estonia

$5,486,154 Vol.

<1%

icon for Portugal

Portugal

$4,619,103 Vol.

<1%

icon for Armenia

Armenia

$5,387,886 Vol.

<1%

icon for Azerbaiyán

Azerbaiyán

$5,338,396 Vol.

<1%

icon for Georgia

Georgia

$5,514,371 Vol.

<1%

icon for Polonia

Polonia

$4,806,246 Vol.

<1%

icon for Letonia

Letonia

$4,664,568 Vol.

<1%

icon for San Marino

San Marino

$5,415,450 Vol.

<1%

icon for Montenegro

Montenegro

$5,479,468 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland commands a 34.4% implied probability as the Eurovision 2026 frontrunner on Polymarket, fueled by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen's violin-pop powerhouse "Liekinheitin," which crushed Finland's UMK national final in late February and dominates bookmakers, fan polls, and jury previews with its orchestral staging and crossover appeal. Greece trails at 17.4% on Akylas's edgy "Ferto," a Sing for Greece victor surging via pre-party buzz, original production, and Balkan televote strength, while Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund's emotive ballad "Før vi går hjem" secures 12.7% through melodic resonance from its Melodi Grand Prix win. Rehearsals kick off this week in Vienna, where live stagings and vocal highlights could upend the field before semis on May 12 and 14.

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volumen
$121,945,784
Fecha de finalización
16 may 2026
Mercado abierto
Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland commands a 34.4% implied probability as the Eurovision 2026 frontrunner on Polymarket, fueled by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen's violin-pop powerhouse "Liekinheitin," which crushed Finland's UMK national final in late February and dominates bookmakers, fan polls, and jury previews with its orchestral staging and crossover appeal. Greece trails at 17.4% on Akylas's edgy "Ferto," a Sing for Greece victor surging via pre-party buzz, original production, and Balkan televote strength, while Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund's emotive ballad "Før vi går hjem" secures 12.7% through melodic resonance from its Melodi Grand Prix win. Rehearsals kick off this week in Vienna, where live stagings and vocal highlights could upend the field before semis on May 12 and 14.

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volumen
$121,945,784
Fecha de finalización
16 may 2026
Mercado abierto
Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de Eurovisión 2026" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 35 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Finlandia" con 34%, seguido de "Grecia" con 17%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 34¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 34% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Ganador de Eurovisión 2026" ha generado $121.9 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Dec 6, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Ganador de Eurovisión 2026", explora los 35 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de Eurovisión 2026" es "Finlandia" con 34%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 34% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Grecia" con 17%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de Eurovisión 2026" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.