U.S.-mediated peace talks between Russia and Ukraine remain stalled as of early May 2026, yet trader consensus tilts slightly toward a ceasefire by end-2027 at 54.5% Yes, reflecting cautious optimism from recent diplomatic signals including President Trump's direct call with Vladimir Putin urging war's end and Russia's proposal for a brief May 9 Victory Day truce—which Ukraine countered with demands for a long-term agreement and reliable security guarantees. A prior 32-hour Orthodox Easter ceasefire in April demonstrated feasibility of short pauses amid ongoing frontline fighting in Donetsk and stalled Russian advances. Ukraine's new army reforms aim for results by June, potentially bolstering its position. Tipping factors include May 9 truce success sparking broader negotiations or battlefield escalation hardening maximalist stances on territory.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertRussland x Ukraine Waffenruhe bis Ende 2027?
Russland x Ukraine Waffenruhe bis Ende 2027?
Ja
$155,036 Vol.
$155,036 Vol.
31. Dez. 2027
Ja
$155,036 Vol.
$155,036 Vol.
31. Dez. 2027
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Russia and Ukraine by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Only ceasefires which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires which only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.U.S.-mediated peace talks between Russia and Ukraine remain stalled as of early May 2026, yet trader consensus tilts slightly toward a ceasefire by end-2027 at 54.5% Yes, reflecting cautious optimism from recent diplomatic signals including President Trump's direct call with Vladimir Putin urging war's end and Russia's proposal for a brief May 9 Victory Day truce—which Ukraine countered with demands for a long-term agreement and reliable security guarantees. A prior 32-hour Orthodox Easter ceasefire in April demonstrated feasibility of short pauses amid ongoing frontline fighting in Donetsk and stalled Russian advances. Ukraine's new army reforms aim for results by June, potentially bolstering its position. Tipping factors include May 9 truce success sparking broader negotiations or battlefield escalation hardening maximalist stances on territory.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Russia and Ukraine by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Only ceasefires which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires which only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Only ceasefires which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires which only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 1, 2026, 2:21 PM ET
Volumen
$155,036Enddatum
31. Dez. 2027Markt eröffnet
Apr 1, 2026, 2:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Russia and Ukraine by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Only ceasefires which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires which only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.U.S.-mediated peace talks between Russia and Ukraine remain stalled as of early May 2026, yet trader consensus tilts slightly toward a ceasefire by end-2027 at 54.5% Yes, reflecting cautious optimism from recent diplomatic signals including President Trump's direct call with Vladimir Putin urging war's end and Russia's proposal for a brief May 9 Victory Day truce—which Ukraine countered with demands for a long-term agreement and reliable security guarantees. A prior 32-hour Orthodox Easter ceasefire in April demonstrated feasibility of short pauses amid ongoing frontline fighting in Donetsk and stalled Russian advances. Ukraine's new army reforms aim for results by June, potentially bolstering its position. Tipping factors include May 9 truce success sparking broader negotiations or battlefield escalation hardening maximalist stances on territory.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Russia and Ukraine by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Only ceasefires which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires which only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Only ceasefires which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires which only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.
Volumen
$155,036Enddatum
31. Dez. 2027Markt eröffnet
Apr 1, 2026, 2:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...U.S.-mediated peace talks between Russia and Ukraine remain stalled as of early May 2026, yet trader consensus tilts slightly toward a ceasefire by end-2027 at 54.5% Yes, reflecting cautious optimism from recent diplomatic signals including President Trump's direct call with Vladimir Putin urging war's end and Russia's proposal for a brief May 9 Victory Day truce—which Ukraine countered with demands for a long-term agreement and reliable security guarantees. A prior 32-hour Orthodox Easter ceasefire in April demonstrated feasibility of short pauses amid ongoing frontline fighting in Donetsk and stalled Russian advances. Ukraine's new army reforms aim for results by June, potentially bolstering its position. Tipping factors include May 9 truce success sparking broader negotiations or battlefield escalation hardening maximalist stances on territory.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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