A federal grand jury indicted former FBI Director James Comey on April 28, 2026, on two counts of threatening President Trump via a 2025 Instagram photo of seashells arranged as "86 47"—interpreted by prosecutors as a coded call for harm—prompting his court appearance and not-guilty plea days later. This follows a prior 2025 indictment for false statements and obstruction, dismissed in November over an unlawfully appointed prosecutor. Traders' 91.5% implied probability on "No" reflects skepticism over First Amendment challenges, lengthy federal timelines for trial and appeals, and low conviction odds before year-end, despite DOJ momentum under the Trump administration; only accelerated proceedings or a plea could shift this consensus.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড$102,283 Vol.
$102,283 Vol.
$102,283 Vol.
$102,283 Vol.
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Comey is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against James Comey for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Apr 28, 2026, 2:28 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Comey is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against James Comey for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A federal grand jury indicted former FBI Director James Comey on April 28, 2026, on two counts of threatening President Trump via a 2025 Instagram photo of seashells arranged as "86 47"—interpreted by prosecutors as a coded call for harm—prompting his court appearance and not-guilty plea days later. This follows a prior 2025 indictment for false statements and obstruction, dismissed in November over an unlawfully appointed prosecutor. Traders' 91.5% implied probability on "No" reflects skepticism over First Amendment challenges, lengthy federal timelines for trial and appeals, and low conviction odds before year-end, despite DOJ momentum under the Trump administration; only accelerated proceedings or a plea could shift this consensus.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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